{"id":2146,"date":"2023-08-10T11:12:15","date_gmt":"2023-08-10T08:12:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=2146"},"modified":"2023-08-10T11:12:15","modified_gmt":"2023-08-10T08:12:15","slug":"moodys-turkiyenin-yeni-ekonomi-ekibini-ovdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=2146","title":{"rendered":"Moody’s, T\u00fcrkiye’nin yeni ekonomi ekibini \u00f6vd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tMoody’s’in T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik y\u0131ll\u0131k analizinde, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in yeniden se\u00e7ildi\u011fi an\u0131msat\u0131larak, yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmenin ve \u00fclkenin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltman\u0131n dahil oldu\u011fu daha ortodoks ekonomi politikalar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z\u00fc verdi\u011fine i\u015faret edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (TCMB) politika faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti\u011fi ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l uygulanan ve bankalar\u0131n \u00e7ekirdek kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na zarar veren bir\u00e7ok bozucu makroihtiyati tedbiri kademeli olarak kald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n
\"Bakan<\/div>\n
Bakan \u015eim\u015fek: 2024’te r\u00fczgar T\u00fcrkiye’den yana esecek<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n piyasa kaynakl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n, ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc geri kazanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olurken, TCMB’nin de d\u00f6viz rezervlerini geri kazanmas\u0131na imkan sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulanan analizde, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin depremin ard\u0131ndan yeniden in\u015fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve se\u00e7im harcamalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan mali bozulmay\u0131 vergiler yoluyla d\u00fczeltmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm pozitife d\u00f6nebilir ve not y\u00fckseltilebilir”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, Mart 2024’te yap\u0131lacak yerel se\u00e7imlere kadar para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n kademeli bir \u015fekilde devam etmesinin beklendi\u011fi ifade edilerek, bunun da enflasyonun gelecek aylarda y\u00fcksek seviyede kalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkenin ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn dura\u011fan oldu\u011fu ve dengeli riskleri yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedilen analizde, “Ortodoks politikalara ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrse ve makro dengesizliklerde d\u00fczenli bir azalmaya yol a\u00e7arsa, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm pozitife d\u00f6nebilir ve not y\u00fckseltilebilir.” de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin siyasi olarak kabul edilebilir seviyeden daha keskin bir \u015fekilde yava\u015flamas\u0131 durumunda, ba\u015fka bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi riskinin \u00f6neminin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edilerek, ortodoks politikalara ge\u00e7i\u015fin k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olmas\u0131 ve daha fazla makroekonomik stresin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn negatife \u00e7evrilebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n daha da y\u00fckseltilmesi muhtemel”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tCumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n yeniden se\u00e7ilmesinin ard\u0131ndan, Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 olarak Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek ve TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak Hafize Gaye Erkan’\u0131 atamas\u0131n\u0131n ortodoks politikalara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sinyallerini verdi\u011fi vurgulanan analizde, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na da \u00f6nceki h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerde Kalk\u0131nma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f ve ortodoks ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fi bilinen Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz’\u0131n atand\u0131\u011f\u0131 an\u0131msat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, ge\u00e7en ay sonunda da TCMB Ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131na ortodoks g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flere sahip atamalar yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na de\u011finilerek, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmede bulunuldu:<\/p>\n

\n\t“Enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi, T\u00fcrkiye’nin b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f dengesizliklerini azaltmay\u0131 ve mali disiplini sa\u011flamaya kararl\u0131 olan yeni ekonomi ekibi, para ve maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kademeli olarak d\u00fczeltmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Daha ortodoks, kurallara dayal\u0131 ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir politika yap\u0131m\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015f, kredi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumlu ve bekledi\u011fimizden daha erken ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.”<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fczde 2,5 civar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fcmenin son \u00e7eyreklerde yava\u015flamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen yerel se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde sa\u011flaml\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilen analizde, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesinin gelecek \u00e7eyreklerde, \u00f6zellikle s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n yans\u0131mas\u0131 olarak, daha da yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, TCMB’nin iki toplant\u0131da kademeli olarak politika faizini y\u00fczde 8,5’ten y\u00fczde 17,5’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve bunu daha da y\u00fckseltmesinin muhtemel oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilerek, maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n vergiler yoluyla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkedeki kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, ihracat, sanayi \u00fcretimi, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 gibi verilere de at\u0131fta bulunulan analizde, gelecek y\u0131l, ortodoks ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi ve parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fczde 2,5 civar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin tahmin edildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“TCMB temkinli hareket etti”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, makroihtiyati tedbirlerin gev\u015fetilmesinin olumlu oldu\u011fu ifade edilerek, uzun vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin de iyi oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tKamu borcunun GSYH’ye oran\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda y\u00fczde 32 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bildirilen analizde, bunun emsal \u00fclkelerin bor\u00e7 oranlar\u0131na g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviye oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bor\u00e7 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fctlerinin kur \u015fokuna kar\u015f\u0131 duyarl\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve mali \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 da y\u00fcksek hassasiyete sahip oldu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrk bankalar\u0131n\u0131n, daha ortodoks para politikas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ften ve makroihtiyati tedbirlerin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan fayda sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131 \u00e7izilen analizde, daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n bankalar\u0131n temel marjlar\u0131n\u0131n geri kazan\u0131lmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalizde TCMB’nin kredi s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerinin kredi provizyonunun d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 bunun da bankalar\u0131n gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131 kaydedilerek, Bankan\u0131n \u015fimdiye kadar temkinli hareket etti\u011fi ve piyasa i\u015flevselli\u011fini en \u00e7ok bozan \u00f6nlemlere odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme
\n Ekonomik D\u00fczenlemeler\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moody’s’in T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik y\u0131ll\u0131k analizinde, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2147,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2874,922,2873,2875,10,11],"class_list":["post-2146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-ekibini","tag-ekonomi","tag-moodys","tag-ovdu","tag-turkiyenin","tag-yeni"],"yoast_head":"\nMoody's, T\u00fcrkiye'nin yeni ekonomi ekibini \u00f6vd\u00fc - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=2146\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Moody's, T\u00fcrkiye'nin yeni ekonomi ekibini \u00f6vd\u00fc - 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