{"id":2762,"date":"2023-09-08T00:19:12","date_gmt":"2023-09-07T21:19:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=2762"},"modified":"2023-09-08T00:19:12","modified_gmt":"2023-09-07T21:19:12","slug":"ifo-almanya-ekonomisi-bu-yil-yuzde-04-kuculecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=2762","title":{"rendered":"Ifo: Almanya ekonomisi bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,4 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclecek"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tMerkezi M\u00fcnih’te bulunan Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo), Almanya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin haziran ay\u0131nda payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023-2024’\u00fc kapsayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinde g\u00fcncelleme yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tIfo, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde eksi 0,4 olarak korunurken, 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 1,5\u2019den 1,4\u2019e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tIfo, \u00fclkede ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 6,9 ve a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 6,1 olan enflasyonun bu y\u0131l ortalama y\u00fczde 6 olmas\u0131n\u0131, 2024’te de y\u00fczde 2,6\u2019ya kadar d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAl\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fcksek enflasyon nedeniyle \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,5 azalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne yer verilen Ifo raporunda, \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin 2024’te ise y\u00fczde 1,8 artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, \u00fclkede i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re 100 binden fazla artarak 2 milyon 418 binden 2 milyon 591 bine y\u00fckselece\u011fi ve gelecek y\u0131l tekrar 2 milyon 582 bine d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n 2023’te y\u00fczde 5,6 ve 2024’te ise yine y\u00fczde 5,6 olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne yer verilen raporda, istihdam edilen ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n da bu y\u0131l 45,59 milyondan 45,92 milyona ve 2024’te de 46,04 milyona y\u00fckselece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tIfo, Alman kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 96,9 milyar euro olan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, bu y\u0131l 91,5 milyar euroya ve gelecek y\u0131l 79,6 milyar euroya gerilemesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 145 milyar euro olan \u00fclkenin cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l 263,8 milyar euroya y\u00fckselece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, s\u00f6z konusu fazlan\u0131n 2024’te 301,5 milyar euroya ula\u015fmas\u0131 beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tIfo\u2019nun sonbahar tahminlerinde, hem bu y\u0131l hem de gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in enflasyon ve i\u015fsizlik konusunda haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re biraz daha k\u00f6t\u00fcmser olmas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\n\tIfo \u0130\u015f D\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve Ekonomik Tahmin M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Timo Wollmershaeuser, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, \u201c\u015eimdiye kadarki beklentilerin aksine, ekonomide toparlanma muhtemelen y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyecek. Ekonomide yava\u015flama devam ediyor ve bu e\u011filim neredeyse t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlman ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,5 oran\u0131nda daralmas\u0131 bekleniyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tWollmershaeuser, harcanabilir hane halk\u0131 gelirindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, \u201cEnflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015f yava\u015f d\u00fc\u015fmesi de sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcnde de art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7acak.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, Alman ekonomisi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,4 ve y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrken, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterememi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tSon y\u0131llarda ya\u015fanan COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131, tedarik zinciri kesintileri ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 gibi \u00e7ok say\u0131daki kriz, Alman ekonomisinin zay\u0131f y\u00f6nlerini su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, \u00c7in ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkenin Almanya’dan ithal etti\u011fi mallar\u0131 giderek daha fazla \u00fcretebilmesi ve y\u00fcksek enflasyonla artan faizler Alman ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini daha da zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\tYava\u015flayan k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme, ihracattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, t\u00fcketicilerin y\u00fckselen enflasyonla ba\u015f etme \u00e7abas\u0131 da Alman ekonomisini olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tKiel D\u00fcnya Ekonomisi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (IfW) Alman ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,5 oran\u0131nda daralmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Almanya\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Merkezi M\u00fcnih’te bulunan Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo), Almanya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin haziran ay\u0131nda payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023-2024’\u00fc kapsayan…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2324,17,3449,3450,383,21],"class_list":["post-2762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-almanya","tag-ekonomisi","tag-ifo","tag-kuculecek","tag-yil","tag-yuzde"],"yoast_head":"\nIfo: Almanya ekonomisi bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,4 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclecek - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=2762\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ifo: Almanya ekonomisi bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,4 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclecek - 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