{"id":3122,"date":"2023-09-21T12:36:20","date_gmt":"2023-09-21T09:36:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=3122"},"modified":"2023-09-21T12:36:20","modified_gmt":"2023-09-21T09:36:20","slug":"fedin-nokta-grafigi-yil-sonuna-kadar-bir-faiz-artisinin-daha-sinyalini-verdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=3122","title":{"rendered":"Fed’in nokta grafi\u011fi y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n daha sinyalini verdi"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\t\u0130ki g\u00fcn s\u00fcren Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan politika karar metnini a\u00e7\u0131klayan Fed, \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin tahminlerini de payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed, federal fon oran\u0131na ili\u015fkin tahminini bu y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5,6 olarak korudu. B\u00f6ylelikle, y\u00fczde 5,25-5,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rak\u0131lan politika faiz oran\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015fa daha i\u015faret edilmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tBanka’n\u0131n ekonomik projeksiyonlar\u0131, FOMC yetkililerinin Fed’in kas\u0131m veya aral\u0131k toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed’in federal fon oran\u0131na ili\u015fkin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in tahmini (medyan de\u011feri) y\u00fczde 4,6’dan 5,1’e y\u00fckseltilirken, yetkililerin 2024’te iki 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini ancak beklenenden daha az faiz indiriminin tahmin edildi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tTahminlerde geni\u015f aral\u0131k dikkati \u00e7ekti<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, 2024 i\u00e7in faiz indirimi tahminindeki bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn Fed’in eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131ndaki en anlaml\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fikliklerden biri oldu\u011funu vurgulayarak, yeni tahminlerin “Fed’in yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015f yapabilece\u011fine ve ekonominin daha uzun s\u00fcre daha y\u00fcksek oranlara dayanabilece\u011fine giderek daha fazla g\u00fcvendi\u011fini” g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca analistler, Fed’in COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ncesindeki 10 y\u0131lda ekonomiyi karakterize eden a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz oranlar\u0131na yak\u0131n zamanda d\u00f6nmeyece\u011finin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tBankan\u0131n federal fon oran\u0131na ili\u015fkin tahmini 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,4’ten 3,9’a y\u00fckseltildi. Fed’in 2026 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin faiz \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc ise y\u00fczde 2,9 oldu. Uzun d\u00f6nem ortalama faiz beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 2,5’te tutuldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tFOMC yetkililerinin tahminlerini i\u00e7eren nokta grafi\u011finde ise yetkililerin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere ili\u015fkin geni\u015f aral\u0131k dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\n\tNokta grafi\u011fine g\u00f6re, baz\u0131 yetkililer, federal fon oran\u0131n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 4,6’da kapataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, baz\u0131lar\u0131 y\u00fczde 5,4 gibi y\u00fcksek bir seviyede kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tTahminler, federal fon oran\u0131n\u0131n 2025 sonuna kadar y\u00fczde 3,4’e d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini veya y\u00fczde 4,9 kadar y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tYetkililer 2026’da da faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 2,5’e inebilece\u011fini veya y\u00fczde 4,1 seviyesinde olabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tGrafikte 19 anonim tahmin yer al\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, \u00fc\u00e7 ayda bir g\u00fcncellenen Fed’in Nokta grafi\u011fi FOMC’nin her bir \u00fcyesinin ekonomi ve para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin kendi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine dayanarak ortaya koydu\u011fu tahminleri i\u00e7eriyor. Nokta grafi\u011finde 19 ayr\u0131 isimsiz (Fed’in kadrosu tam ise) projeksiyon bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, daha \u00f6nce yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n nokta grafi\u011fi tahminlerini sa\u011flam bir plan olarak g\u00f6rmemeleri gerekti\u011fini, faiz politikas\u0131nda gidilecek yolun gelen verilere ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak her an de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n FED
\n Faiz\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ki g\u00fcn s\u00fcren Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan politika karar metnini a\u00e7\u0131klayan Fed,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1015,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2924,210,1692,287,1576,3807,607,3806,3808,2465,565,383],"class_list":["post-3122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-artisinin","tag-bir","tag-daha","tag-faiz","tag-fedin","tag-grafigi","tag-kadar","tag-nokta","tag-sinyalini","tag-sonuna","tag-verdi","tag-yil"],"yoast_head":"\nFed'in nokta grafi\u011fi y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n daha sinyalini verdi - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=3122\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed'in nokta grafi\u011fi y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n daha sinyalini verdi - 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