{"id":3562,"date":"2023-10-10T13:30:57","date_gmt":"2023-10-10T10:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=3562"},"modified":"2023-10-10T13:30:57","modified_gmt":"2023-10-10T10:30:57","slug":"imf-bu-yila-iliskin-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-tahminini-sabit-tuttu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=3562","title":{"rendered":"IMF, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini sabit tuttu"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tIMF, D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun ekim say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “K\u00fcresel Farl\u0131l\u0131klarda Gezinme” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tCOVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel toparlanman\u0131n yava\u015f ve d\u00fczensiz olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edilen raporda, yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmayla gelen toparlanma ve enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinde kaydedilen ilerlemeyle birlikte y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ekonomik dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa ra\u011fmen rahatlamak i\u00e7in erken oldu\u011fu vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, ekonomik faaliyetin, \u00f6zellikle y\u00fckselen piyasalarda ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde hala salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi seyrinin gerisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulanarak, b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131nda geni\u015fleyen farkl\u0131l\u0131klara i\u015faret edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7e\u015fitli g\u00fc\u00e7lerin toparlanmay\u0131 engelledi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, bunlardan baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, salg\u0131n\u0131n, Ukrayna’daki sava\u015f\u0131n ve artan jeoekonomik ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzun vadeli sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri tarihsel ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tD\u00fcnya ekonomisinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc an\u0131msat\u0131lan raporda, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flayarak bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tIMF, temmuz ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlerinde, k\u00fcresel ekonominin hem 2023 hem de 2024’te y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin 2000-2019 y\u0131llar\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 olan y\u00fczde 3,8’in alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tGeli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin 2022’de y\u00fczde 2,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc hat\u0131rlat\u0131lan raporda, ABD’deki ivmenin beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ancak Euro B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin beklenenden zay\u0131f oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde bu ekonomilerdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flayarak bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,5 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 1,4 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,1’lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydeden y\u00fckselen piyasa ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin de \u00c7in’deki emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fc krizini yans\u0131tacak \u015fekilde hem 2023 hem de 2024’te y\u00fczde 4 d\u00fczeyinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tOrta vadede k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin y\u00fczde 3,1 ile son y\u0131llar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinde bulundu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, \u00fclkelerin daha y\u00fcksek ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131na ula\u015fma beklentilerinin zay\u0131f oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyonun 2025’e kadar hedefe d\u00f6nmesi beklenmiyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, k\u00fcresel enflasyonun ise 2022’deki y\u00fczde 8,7 seviyesinden 2023’te y\u00fczde 6,9’a ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 5,8’e istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fece\u011finin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, ancak enflasyon tahmininin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in 0,1 ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in 0,6 puan art\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu durumda 2025’e kadar enflasyon hedeflerine d\u00f6n\u00fclmesinin beklenmedi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de bor\u00e7 limiti gerilimlerinin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesiyle \u0130svi\u00e7reli ve ABD’li yetkililerin bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde harekete ge\u00e7mesi nedeniyle, finansal g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme y\u00f6nelik risklerin alt\u0131 ay \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re daha dengeli oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, ekonomide “sert ini\u015f” ihtimalinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik risklerin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olmaya devam etti\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, \u00c7in’in emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fc krizinin \u00f6zellikle emtia ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel etkileriyle birlikte derinle\u015febilece\u011fine de\u011finilerek, enflasyonun s\u0131k\u0131 i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131yla birlikte beklenenden daha y\u00fcksek politika faizleri gerektirmesine katk\u0131da bulunabilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tDaha fazla iklim ve jeopolitik \u015fokun, g\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda ilave art\u0131\u015flara neden olabilece\u011fi kaydedilen raporda, jeoekonomik ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n emtian\u0131n piyasalar aras\u0131ndaki ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilece\u011fi, ek fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fi ve ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc karma\u015f\u0131k hale getirebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin ise yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131n bor\u00e7 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7inde veya y\u00fcksek risk alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in y\u00fckseltildi, Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tIMF’nin raporunda, \u00fclkelere ili\u015fkin g\u00fcncellenen ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tBuna g\u00f6re, ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,8’den y\u00fczde 2,1’e ve 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1’den y\u00fczde 1,5’e y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEuro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,9’dan y\u00fczde 0,7’ye ve 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in de y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 1,2’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa’n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerinden Almanya’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi beklenirken, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi. IMF, temmuz ay\u0131ndaki tahminlerinde, Almanya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fini ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 1,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tFransa ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,8’den y\u00fczde 1’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,3 olarak korundu. \u0130talya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde 0,7’ye ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,9’dan y\u00fczde 0,7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. \u0130spanya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini de bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,5 olarak korunurken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2’den y\u00fczde 1,7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130ngiltere ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 0,4’ten y\u00fczde 0,5’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 1’den y\u00fczde 0,6’ya indirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyon<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tY\u00fckselen piyasalar ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke ekonomileri grubunda ise \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5,2’den y\u00fczde 5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00c7in ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini de y\u00fczde 4,5’ten y\u00fczde 4,2’ye \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tHindistan ekonomisinde bu y\u0131la dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 6,1’den y\u00fczde 6,3’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 6,3 olarak korundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tRusya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini de bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 2,2’ye y\u00fckseltilirken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,3’ten y\u00fczde 1,1’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri y\u00fckseltildi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tIMF, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinde ise bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyona gitti.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,25 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tFon, temmuz ay\u0131ndaki tahminlerinde, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tIMF, 6 Ekim’de de James Walsh liderli\u011findeki IMF heyetinin 25-29 Eyl\u00fcl’de yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ziyaretinin ard\u0131ndan \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmeleri payla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tFondan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, T\u00fcrkiye’de se\u00e7imden bu yana uygulanan politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tA\u00e7\u0131klamada, politika faizinin y\u00fckseltilmesi, vergilerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve baz\u0131 finansal sekt\u00f6r \u00f6nlemlerinin serbestle\u015ftirilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki son ad\u0131mlar\u0131n riskleri azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcvenini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n rezerv pozisyonunun da iyile\u015fti\u011fi kaydedilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n \u0130MF\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

IMF, D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun ekim say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “K\u00fcresel Farl\u0131l\u0131klarda Gezinme” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131. COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":710,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[751,41,66,1264,121,387,385,388,2944],"class_list":["post-3562","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomik","tag-iliskin","tag-imf","tag-kuresel","tag-sabit","tag-tahminini","tag-tuttu","tag-yila"],"yoast_head":"\nIMF, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini sabit tuttu - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=3562\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini sabit tuttu - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"IMF, D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun ekim say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “K\u00fcresel Farl\u0131l\u0131klarda Gezinme” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131. 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