{"id":4843,"date":"2023-12-04T09:45:05","date_gmt":"2023-12-04T06:45:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4843"},"modified":"2023-12-04T09:45:05","modified_gmt":"2023-12-04T06:45:05","slug":"borsa-gelecek-donem-icin-onemli-potansiyel-tasimayi-surduruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4843","title":{"rendered":"Borsa gelecek d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli potansiyel ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tBu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 6 \u015eubat’ta ya\u015fanan deprem felaketleriyle birlikte dalgal\u0131 bir seyir izleyen BIST 100 endeksi, se\u00e7im belirsizliklerinin sona ermesi ve yeni ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin uygulamaya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan “ralli” yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tGenel se\u00e7imlerin ikinci turda sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 75 de\u011fer kazanan BIST100 endeksi, y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana da y\u00fczde 46 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. Endeks, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te 8.513,54 puan ile rekor k\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tSekt\u00f6r endeksleri aras\u0131nda y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana en \u00e7ok kazand\u0131ran, y\u00fczde 167 art\u0131\u015fla sigorta olurken, en \u00e7ok gerileyen, y\u00fczde 0,87 ile madencilik oldu. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k endeksi y\u00fczde 72 ve holding endeksi y\u00fczde 41 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, gram alt\u0131n y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 75 y\u00fckselirken, ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde dolar\/TL de y\u00fczde 54 de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tMay\u0131sta 700 baz puanda bulunan T\u00fcrkiye’nin 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k kredi risk primi (CDS), d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 332,8 baz puan ile 19 Mart 2021’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tSe\u00e7im sonras\u0131 yeni ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar ve yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131larla yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye’ye ili\u015fkin olumlu de\u011ferlendirmeler art arda gelmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Standard & Poor’s (S&P), ge\u00e7en hafta, T\u00fcrkiye’de son d\u00f6nemdeki politika d\u00fczenlemeleri nedeniyle takvim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye giderek, \u00fclkenin kredi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc revize etti. S&P, T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notunu “B” olarak teyit ederken, kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc “dura\u011fan”dan “pozitif”e \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tDaha \u00f6nce ba\u015fka bir uluslararas\u0131 kredi kurulu\u015fu olan Fitch Ratings de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc “negatif”ten “dura\u011fan”a revize ederken, Moody\u2019s 17 T\u00fcrk bankas\u0131n\u0131n not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc “negatif”ten “dura\u011fan”a \u00e7evirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmlerindeki revizyonlar, yakla\u015fan not art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n da habercisi “<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tPhillipCapital Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Piyasalar Grup Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00dczeyir Do\u011fan, uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’ye ili\u015fkin not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmlerindeki revizyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, yakla\u015fan not art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n da habercisi niteli\u011finde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tD\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimindeki CDS’nin de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye olan bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fmenin bir g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen Do\u011fan, son zamanlarda hem tahvil hem de borsaya yabanc\u0131 giri\u015fleri ba\u015flamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019da hen\u00fcz beklenen yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tDo\u011fan, “\u015eirketlerin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc finansallar ve Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019un zirveden d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, gerek endekste gerekse endekste a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek olan bir\u00e7ok \u015firketin piyasa \u00e7arpanlar\u0131nda ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler getirdi. Bu ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00f6nemli bir potansiyelin de birikti\u011finin g\u00f6stergesi.” ifadelerini kullanarak, BIST 100 endeksinde son zamanlarda hisse bazl\u0131 hareketlerin daha \u00f6n planda olsa da endeksin 8.000 puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n olumlu bir tablo olu\u015fturdu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAral\u0131kta yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Noel d\u00f6neminin ard\u0131ndan y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131 tatillerinin bir rehavet nedeni olabilece\u011fini ve i\u015flem hacimlerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra volatilitede de bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn g\u00f6zlenebilece\u011fini aktaran Do\u011fan, “Buna kar\u015f\u0131n ba\u015fta bahsetti\u011fimiz s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa yabanc\u0131 giri\u015flerinin devam\u0131 endekste d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimlerle de olsa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli destekleyebilir. Yeni y\u0131lla birlikte yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ilgisinin daha da artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz endekste daha kal\u0131c\u0131 hareketler g\u00f6rebiliriz.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tDo\u011fan, BIST 100 endeksine ili\u015fkin teknik de\u011ferlendirmede de bulunarak \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

\n\t“Endekste k\u0131sa vadede d\u00fczeltmenin y\u00fczde 61,8 seviyesinin de bulundu\u011fu 8.080 puan \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 konumunda. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerindeki kapan\u0131\u015flar \u00f6nceki zirvenin bulundu\u011fu 8.500 civar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde test edilmesini sa\u011flayabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 7.750 puan en \u00f6nemli destek konumunda olup, buraya kadar olacak geri \u00e7ekilmeler al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.”<\/p>\n

\n\t“BIST 100 endeksi, benzerlerine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 60 civar\u0131nda iskontolu”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tPerform Portf\u00f6y Fon Y\u00f6neticisi Altan Ayd\u0131n da Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019da zor gecen 2023 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n her \u015feye ra\u011fmen k\u00f6t\u00fc bir getiri sunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, “BIST100 endeksi, ekime kadar enflasyon ve d\u00f6vizle yar\u0131\u015f\u0131r durumdayd\u0131. 7 Ekim\u2019de ba\u015flayan Hamas – \u0130srail \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda zay\u0131flayan endeksin, y\u0131l\u0131 yine iyi bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcyle bitirmesini bekliyorum.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u015eirketler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7o d\u00f6neminin gayet ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fini ancak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n kar marjlar\u0131nda bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eden Ayd\u0131n, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7o d\u00f6neminin ise nispeten daha sakin ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini ve sekt\u00f6r bazl\u0131 pozitif ayr\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyd\u0131n, BIST 100 endeksinin fiyat\/kazan\u00e7 oran\u0131n\u0131n (F\/K) 6,6 seviyesinde bulundu\u011funu kaydederek, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n

\n\t“BIST 100 endeksinin F\/K seviyesi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7o d\u00f6nemi \u00f6ncesi 7,7 de bulunuyordu. 2024 kar tahminlerine g\u00f6re ise BIST 100 endeksi 4,5 F\/K ile i\u015flem g\u00f6rmektedir. Bu da BIST 100 endeksinin benzerlerine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 60 civar\u0131nda iskontolu oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etmektedir. Politika faizinin y\u00fczde 40 seviyesine \u00e7ekilmesi, kredi ve mevduat faizleri \u00fczerinde de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hem \u015firketlerin finansman y\u00fck\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem de alternatif getiri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan borsa i\u00e7in negatif bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclse de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir politika ile risk priminin geldi\u011fi seviye itibar\u0131yla umut vadeden bir ortam\u0131n olu\u015ftu\u011funu belirtmek gerekir.”<\/p>\n

\n\t2024’e girerken, daha \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir para politikas\u0131, dengelenmi\u015f enflasyon beklentileri ve azalan siyasi belirsizlik ortam\u0131n\u0131n yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n nezdinde cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcnece\u011fini aktaran Ayd\u0131n, “Son aylarda ihra\u00e7lara gelen talep, yaz\u0131lan rapor s\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu duruma \u00f6rnek olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmelidir. Bu nedenle, 2024 i\u00e7in son iki senedeki kadar olmasa da yine reel getiri sunabilecek bir performans bekliyorum. Sekt\u00f6rel bazda ise bankac\u0131l\u0131k, g\u0131da \u00fcreticisi ve g\u0131da perakende ile telekom\u00fcnikasyon sekt\u00f6rlerini tercih ediyoruz. 2024 ve 2025 y\u0131llar\u0131 beraber d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse \u00f6zellikle havac\u0131l\u0131k ve enerji sekt\u00f6rlerinde uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 da kollamak gerekti\u011fi kanaatindeyiz.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Borsa
\n Borsa \u0130stanbul\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 6 \u015eubat’ta ya\u015fanan deprem felaketleriyle birlikte dalgal\u0131 bir seyir izleyen BIST 100…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":951,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[294,1992,164,83,2287,1516,2773,5195],"class_list":["post-4843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-borsa","tag-donem","tag-gelecek","tag-icin","tag-onemli","tag-potansiyel","tag-surduruyor","tag-tasimayi"],"yoast_head":"\nBorsa gelecek d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli potansiyel ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4843\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Borsa gelecek d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli potansiyel ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor - 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