{"id":4951,"date":"2023-12-08T09:52:49","date_gmt":"2023-12-08T06:52:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4951"},"modified":"2023-12-08T09:52:49","modified_gmt":"2023-12-08T06:52:49","slug":"turk-ekonomi-politikalari-uluslararasi-kuruluslarin-dikkatini-cekiyor-beklentiler-revize-edildi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4951","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrk ekonomi politikalar\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7ekiyor: Beklentiler revize edildi"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tTCMB enflasyonla m\u00fccadelesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken ekonomi y\u00f6netimi de istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in kararl\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tTCMB’nin enflasyonla m\u00fccadele konusundaki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymas\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye’nin CDS’sindeki gerileme h\u0131z kazand\u0131. May\u0131s ay\u0131nda 700 baz puan seviyesinde olan T\u00fcrkiye’nin CDS’si, 5 Kas\u0131m Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 330 baz puana inerek son 35 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n
\"Merkez<\/div>\n
Merkez Bankas\u0131 rezervleri artmaya devam ediyor<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n\tBu geli\u015fmeler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131larda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulurken T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerindeki olumlu de\u011fi\u015fimi de beraberinde getirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tKredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonlar geldi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, 8 Eyl\u00fcl’deki de\u011ferlendirmesinde, T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notunu “B” olarak teyit ederken not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc 2 y\u0131l sonra “negatif”ten “dura\u011fan”a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tFitch, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 2,5’ten y\u00fczde 4,3’e y\u00fckseltti, ekonominin 2024’te y\u00fczde 3 ve 2025’te 3,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca Fitch’in kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan raporunda, T\u00fcrk ekonomisine ili\u015fkin orta vadeli potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3,9’dan 4,1’e y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tKredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 29 Eyl\u00fcl’de T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notunu “B” olarak teyit etti ve kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc “politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi” nedeniyle “negatif”ten “dura\u011fan”a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n
\"Bankac\u0131l\u0131k<\/div>\n
Bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc kredi hacmi 11 trilyon 314 milyar 278 milyon lira oldu<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n\tA\u00e7\u0131klamada, siyasi belirsizliklerin ortadan kalkmas\u0131yla 2026’ya kadar yeni ekibin T\u00fcrk ekonomisini d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7la finanse edilen t\u00fcketimden uzakla\u015ft\u0131rarak daha dengeli d\u0131\u015f ve mali hesaplara, daha kabul edilebilir enflasyon seviyelerine do\u011fru yeniden dengeleyebilece\u011fine inan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, “dura\u011fan” kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn, Ortodoks para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden uygulanmas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi itibar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik dengeli riskleri yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca S&P, T\u00fcrkiye’de son d\u00f6nemdeki politika d\u00fczenlemeleri nedeniyle 1 Aral\u0131k’ta takvim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye giderek \u00fclkenin kredi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc revize etti. Kurulu\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notunu “B” olarak teyit ederken kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc “dura\u011fan”dan “pozitif”e \u00e7evirdi. S&P’den yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00f6demeler dengesinin daha da iyile\u015fmesi, d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artmas\u0131 ve gelecek 12 ay i\u00e7inde dolarizasyonda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi halinde uzun vadeli \u00fclke notunun bir kademe y\u00fckseltilebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonomiyle ilgili kurulu\u015flar b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini g\u00fcncelledi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa \u0130mar ve Kalk\u0131nma Bankas\u0131 (EBRD), eyl\u00fclde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 2,5’ten y\u00fczde 3,5’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonun, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi mali canlanman\u0131n etkisiyle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131lan EBRD raporunda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin 2024’te y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tBirle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Ticaret ve Kalk\u0131nma Konferans\u0131 (UNCTAD), T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6’dan y\u00fczde 3,7’ye y\u00fckseltti. T\u00fcrkiye’nin gelecek y\u0131l da y\u00fczde 1,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tD\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,2’den 4,2’ye y\u00fckseltti. Bankan\u0131n ekim ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan Avrupa ve Orta Asya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik Ekonomik G\u00fcncelleme Raporu’nda, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) da T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinde bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyona gitti. Fon, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,25 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmininde bulundu. IMF, temmuz ay\u0131ndaki tahminlerinde, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca IMF’nin, James Walsh liderli\u011findeki IMF heyetinin 25-29 Eyl\u00fcl’de yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ziyaretinin ard\u0131ndan \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmelerde de T\u00fcrkiye’de se\u00e7imden bu yana uygulanan politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klamada, politika faizinin y\u00fckseltilmesi, vergilerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve baz\u0131 finansal sekt\u00f6r \u00f6nlemlerinin serbestle\u015ftirilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki son ad\u0131mlar\u0131n riskleri azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcvenini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, TCMB’nin rezerv pozisyonunun da iyile\u015fti\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD), kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,3’ten y\u00fczde 4,5’e y\u00fckseltti. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2024’te 2,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenirken, 2025’te b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 3,2’ye y\u00fckselece\u011fi tahmin edildi. \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan para politikas\u0131 ve enflasyonun hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketimini zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131, bununla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye’nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yans\u0131tacak \u015fekilde 2025’te ivme kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tYat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131n\u0131n analizlerinde olumlu de\u011ferlendirmeler dikkati \u00e7ekti<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tABD’nin b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131ndan JP Morgan, “TL’de a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k art\u0131r” tavsiyesine ba\u015flad\u0131. Bankan\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi bilgi notunda, T\u00fcrkiye’deki geli\u015fmelere ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmeler yer al\u0131rken, “Model portf\u00f6y\u00fcm\u00fcze k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir miktar ‘TL a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k art\u0131r’ pozisyonu ekliyoruz. Temmuz ba\u015f\u0131nda opsiyonlarda TL uzun pozisyonu alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Art\u0131k risk\/\u00f6d\u00fcl dengesinin do\u011frudan TL al\u0131mdan yana oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz” ifadeleri kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tJP Morgan’In ekim ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan “Avrupa, Orta Do\u011fu ve Afrika, Geli\u015fmekte Olan Piyasalar Yerel Piyasalar Pusulas\u0131” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporunda da makroekonomik politikalar\u0131n do\u011fru y\u00f6nde ilerledi\u011fi belirtilerek, “TL, temel a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7ok ucuzlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek enflasyonun rekabet\u00e7ili\u011fi azaltmas\u0131 art\u0131k daha az endi\u015fe verici bir durum. Rezerv b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden \u00f6d\u00fcn vermeden TL’yi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde istikrarl\u0131 tutabiliyorlar.” de\u011ferlendirmesi yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tGoldman Sachs ise eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 sonunda m\u00fc\u015fterilerine g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi “T\u00fcrkiye (T\u00fcrk liras\u0131) oyuna geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 geli\u015fen piyasalar raporunda, T\u00fcrkiye’nin politika faizindeki h\u0131zl\u0131 normalle\u015fmenin T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda kazanc\u0131n geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tTCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Hafize Gaye Erkan’\u0131n kas\u0131m ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki Enflasyon Raporu sunumunun ard\u0131ndan yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m bankalar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan analizlerde, “enflasyonda kal\u0131c\u0131 ve belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flanana kadar s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n devam edece\u011fi” kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na vurgu yap\u0131ld\u0131. Morgan Stanley’nin CEEMEA \u00fclkelerine y\u00f6nelik haftal\u0131k raporundaki T\u00fcrkiye’ye ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmede, Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) karar metinleriyle uyumlu olarak yap\u0131lan ileti\u015fimin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde enflasyona odaklan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tCitibank’\u0131n raporunda da enflasyonda kal\u0131c\u0131 ve belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flanana kadar s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n devam edece\u011fi, TL cinsinden varl\u0131klar\u0131n cazibesinin artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na devam edilece\u011fi hususlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nem arz etti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tDeutche Bank taraf\u0131ndan kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda payla\u015f\u0131lan bilgi notunda, T\u00fcrk tahvillerinin 2024’te en iyi performans g\u00f6steren geli\u015fmekte olan tahviller aras\u0131nda yer alabilece\u011fi ifade edildi. Bankan\u0131n notunda, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmada beklentilerin \u00fczerinde kararlar almas\u0131n\u0131n, korunmaya a\u00e7\u0131k TL mevduatlar vurgulanarak uygulanmaya ba\u015flanan makro ihtiyati \u00e7er\u00e7evedeki yeni uygulamalar\u0131n ve bankan\u0131n \u015feffaf ileti\u015fiminin TL i\u00e7in s\u00fcrpriz bir pozitiflik i\u00e7erdi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Bilgi notunda, TL i\u00e7in taktiksel al\u0131m \u00f6nerisinde bulunuldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tBNP Paribas da TCMB’nin son aylarda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 para politikas\u0131 d\u00fczenlemesinin ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk tahvillerinin daha cazip hale geldi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme
\n Merkez Bankas\u0131
\n Borsa\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

TCMB enflasyonla m\u00fccadelesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken ekonomi y\u00f6netimi de istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in kararl\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atmaya devam ediyor….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":577,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[5275,5274,5273,667,922,5272,2897,2298,459,363],"class_list":["post-4951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-beklentiler","tag-cekiyor","tag-dikkatini","tag-edildi","tag-ekonomi","tag-kuruluslarin","tag-politikalari","tag-revize","tag-turk","tag-uluslararasi"],"yoast_head":"\nT\u00fcrk ekonomi politikalar\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7ekiyor: Beklentiler revize edildi - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4951\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T\u00fcrk ekonomi politikalar\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7ekiyor: Beklentiler revize edildi - 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