{"id":4983,"date":"2023-12-09T15:33:25","date_gmt":"2023-12-09T12:33:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4983"},"modified":"2023-12-09T15:33:25","modified_gmt":"2023-12-09T12:33:25","slug":"kuresel-piyasalar-faiz-kararlarina-odaklandi-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4983","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel piyasalar faiz kararlar\u0131na odakland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tK\u00fcresel piyasalarda, ABD’de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyallerle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizlikler tekrar hakim olurken, d\u00fcnya genelinde ekonomilerin resesyona girip girmeyece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik belirsizlikler de risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fcledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed’in ultra \u015fahin ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkisi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde hissedilmeye devam ederken, para piyasalar\u0131nda Fed\u2019in gelecek iki toplant\u0131da politika faizini sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klanan makroekonomik veriler bir taraftan i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n so\u011fudu\u011funa dair umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n ABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan istihdam raporunun ard\u0131ndan Fed’in mart ay\u0131nda politika faizinde indirimlere ba\u015flayabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin ihtimal y\u00fczde 50’nin alt\u0131na indi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, Fed\u2019in enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda temkinli davranarak faiz indirimlerini erteleyebilece\u011fi ihtimalinin de masada oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatarak, buna kar\u015f\u0131n haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131na kalmas\u0131 halinde ilk faiz indiriminin bu toplant\u0131da yap\u0131lmas\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n

\n\tPay piyasalar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ge\u00e7en kas\u0131m ay\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan konsolidasyon ihtimalinin oldu\u011funu da an\u0131msatan analistler, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler konusunda dikkatli olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Rating, a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun aral\u0131k say\u0131s\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l keskin bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015ferek y\u00fczde 2,1 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Raporda, ABD ekonomisinde resesyon olmasa da keskin bir yava\u015flaman\u0131n beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. \u00dclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,2 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 1,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,1, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s k\u00fcresel ekonominin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fen krediler ile ABD ve Avrupa’daki gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 nedeniyle, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel bankalar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerinde negatif bask\u0131lar\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, ABD’nin b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst y\u00f6neticileri (CEO), banka sermayelerinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ili\u015fkin yeni d\u00fczenleme teklifinin ekonomiye zarar verebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Basel III Endgame” olarak bilinen yeni d\u00fczenleme teklifine karl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilece\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan banka y\u00f6neticileri, d\u00fczenlemenin, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn daha fazla esnekli\u011fe ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde kredileri azaltaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve banka bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tS\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan ABD’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi y\u00fczde 4,1020 ile 3 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini test etmesinin ard\u0131ndan 4,20 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde dengelendi ve haftay\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda 4,2280’den tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca, kripto para birimi Bitcoin, Fed’in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn sonuna geldi\u011fine ve ABD’de spot Bitcoin borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu (ETF) ba\u015fvurusunun onaylanaca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentilerin artmas\u0131yla Nisan 2022’den bu yana ilk kez 44 bin dolar\u0131n \u00fczerini test etti.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 da haftan\u0131n 2145 dolarla t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan artan sat\u0131\u015flarla haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,2 azal\u0131\u015fla 2004,16 dolardan tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, ABD’nin rekor seviyeye yak\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n, OPEC+’n\u0131n planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcretim kesintilerini kar\u015f\u0131lay\u0131p kar\u015f\u0131layamayaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcphelerle arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015feleri g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye devam ederken, Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 76 dolardan kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tDolar endeksi de ge\u00e7en hafta y\u00fczde 0,8 art\u0131\u015fla 104 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

\n\t-New York borsas\u0131nda al\u0131\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir seyir izlendi<\/p>\n

\n\tNew York borsas\u0131nda ge\u00e7en hafta genel olarak Fed’in gelecek y\u0131l faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentilerin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinin etkileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tHaftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde ise bankan\u0131n faiz indirimlerine 2024’\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ba\u015flayabilece\u011fine dair beklentiler g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, ABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerin ekonomideki gidi\u015fata ili\u015fkin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verdi\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam, kas\u0131mda 199 bin ki\u015fi artarak beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,9’dan 3,7’ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tHaftal\u0131k ortalama \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma saati 34,4’e \u00e7\u0131karken, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) dikkatle izledi\u011fi ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7, y\u00fczde 0,4 artarak 34,10 dolara y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

\n\tPiyasa beklentileri, ortalama saatlik kazanc\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 0,3 artmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Maa\u015flardaki son d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret eden ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7 verisi, ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,2 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyon risklerini geri getirebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 ekimde bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla 617 bin azalarak 8 milyon 733 bine geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, piyasa beklentilerinin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, Mart 2021’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi\u011fini an\u0131msatarak, bu durumun y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc talebini azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011funu ve Fed’in para politikas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00fczerinde etkili olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131, kas\u0131mda 103 bin ki\u015fiyle piyasa beklentilerinin alt\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. ADP \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131 verisine g\u00f6re, kas\u0131mda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00fccreti y\u00fczde 5,6 artt\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl 2021’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fini kaydeden s\u00f6z konusu \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131, ekimde y\u00fczde 5,7 olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00f6ylece, ABD’de JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 verilerinin ard\u0131ndan ADP \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131 verileri de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki so\u011fumay\u0131 destekleyici nitelikte geldi.
\n\tAnalistler, ABD’de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131ndaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n dikkati \u00e7ekici oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131na ili\u015fkin haftal\u0131k veriler ise kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verdi. Buna g\u00f6re, ABD’de s\u00fcregelen i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 1 milyon 861 bin ki\u015fi ile beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, temmuzdan bu yana en sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Ancak, veri, iki y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n kalmaya devam etti.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130lk kez i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurusunda bulunanlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 ise ge\u00e7en hafta 220 bin ile tahminlerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede, fabrika sipari\u015fleri, ekimde y\u00fczde 3,6 ile piyasa beklentilerinden fazla azald\u0131. Analistler, fabrika sipari\u015flerindeki azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131ndan etkilendi\u011finin bir g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler ise sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn diren\u00e7li kalmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Tedarik Y\u00f6netim Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (ISM) hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI) kas\u0131mda 52,7’ye \u00e7\u0131karak tahminlerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, S&P Global’in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc PMI verisi de 50,8 ile 4 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesindeki seyrini korudu.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed’in, ekim ay\u0131na ait t\u00fcketici kredileri verilerine g\u00f6re, \u00fclkede t\u00fcketici kredileri, ekimde bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla 5,13 milyar dolar artarak 4 trilyon 989 milyar dolarl\u0131k hacme ula\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcketici kredilerine ili\u015fkin piyasa beklentisi, 9 milyar dolar artmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de Michigan \u00dcniversitesince \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi de aral\u0131kta 69,4’e \u00e7\u0131karak piyasa beklentilerinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcketicilerin k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon beklentileri bu ay y\u00fczde 4,5’ten y\u00fczde 3,1’e gerileyerek Mart 2021’den bu yana kaydedilen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi. Uzun vadeli enflasyon beklentileri de ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 3,2’den y\u00fczde 2,8’e d\u00fc\u015ferek, Temmuz 2021’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ikinci seviyesini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verileri ilk olarak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin para politikas\u0131n\u0131n sonuna geldi\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentileri zay\u0131flatsa da ABD ekonomisinde “yumu\u015fak ini\u015fin” ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentileri destekledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tS\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmelerle ge\u00e7en hafta, New York borsas\u0131nda haftay\u0131 Nasdaq endeksi y\u00fczde 0,69, S&P 500 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,20, Dow Jones endeksi ise y\u00fczde 0,01 y\u00fckseli\u015fle tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t11 Aral\u0131k ile ba\u015flayan haftada sal\u0131 T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE), hazine b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesi, \u00e7ar\u015famba Fed’in faiz karar\u0131, \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE), per\u015fembe perakende sat\u0131\u015flar, haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131, cuma New York Fed sanayi endeksi, sanayi \u00fcretimi, kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131, imalat sanayi ve hizmet Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI) takip edilecek.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa borsalar\u0131 pozitif seyretti<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa borsalar\u0131nda ge\u00e7en hafta al\u0131\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir seyir \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tPara piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (ECB) 2024 toplamda 150 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimine gidece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bankan\u0131n martta y\u00fczde 75 ihtimalle faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 ve g\u00fcvercin ad\u0131mlar konusunda di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekece\u011fi ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tBu durum, b\u00f6lge genelinde risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekledi. ECB’nin en \u015fahin yetkililerinden biri olarak bilinen Isabel Schnabel’in de a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda enflasyonun “dikkate de\u011fer” bir yava\u015flama g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131ran ba\u015fka bir neden oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00f6lgede hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve bile\u015fik Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI) verileri beklentiler \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nde \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE), ekimde ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,2 ile \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere paralel art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tECB T\u00fcketici Beklentileri Anketi’ne g\u00f6re, Avro B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki t\u00fcketicilerin gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in Avro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon beklentileri sabit kal\u0131rken, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnkete g\u00f6re, Avro B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki t\u00fcketicilerin, 12 ay i\u00e7in enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 4\u2019te sabit kal\u0131rken, gelecek 12 aya ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise eksi y\u00fczde 1,3\u2019e indi.<\/p>\n

\n\tBu geli\u015fmelerle birlikte ECB’nin de faiz indirimlerine Fed’e paralel martta ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik fiyatlamalar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, para piyasalar\u0131nda bankan\u0131n g\u00fcvercin ad\u0131mlara Fed’den \u00f6nce ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, buna kar\u015f\u0131n b\u00f6lgede ekonomik aktiviteye y\u00f6nelik endi\u015felerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam etti\u011fini an\u0131msatarak, ekonomideki s\u00f6z konusu durgunlu\u011fa ra\u011fmen b\u00f6lgede enflasyonun hala ama\u00e7lanan seviyenin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu ve bu durumun ECB’nin politika alan\u0131n\u0131 daraltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n

\n\tBankan\u0131n gelecek haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmesi beklenmiyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlmanya’da a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, ekimde ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,2 ve ithalat\u0131n da y\u00fczde 1,2 azal\u0131\u015fla beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 17,8 milyar dolarla tahminleri a\u015ft\u0131.
\n\tAvro B\u00f6lgesi’nde ise Sentix yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcven endeksi de aral\u0131kta eksi 16,8 ile \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi 2023’\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklentilere paralel olarak y\u00fczde 0,1 daralma g\u00f6sterdi. Almanya’da sanayi \u00fcretimi, makine m\u00fchendisli\u011fi \u00fcretimindeki gerileme nedeniyle ekimde y\u00fczde 0,4 ile tahminlerin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc art arda be\u015finci aya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlmanya’da kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,4 azalarak, y\u0131ll\u0131k ise y\u00fczde 3,2 artarak beklentiler dahilinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tFaiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ilk ba\u015flayan merkez bankas\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey, \u00fclkede faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha mevcut seviyelerinde tutulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tBankan\u0131n Finansal \u0130stikrar Raporu\u2019nun ard\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen toplant\u0131da konu\u015fan Bailey, “Y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n tam etkisi hen\u00fcz ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131. Bu nedenle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek finansal istikrar risklerine kar\u015f\u0131 ihtiyatl\u0131 olmaya devam ediyoruz.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tBoE’nin de faizlerde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmesi beklenmiyor. Avro\/dolar paritesi, haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 1,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1,0763’ten tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tS\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmelerle ge\u00e7en hafta Almanya’da DAX endeksi y\u00fczde 2,21, Fransa’da CAC 40 endeksi y\u00fczde 2,46, \u0130talya’da MIB 30 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,58 ve \u0130ngiltere’de FTSE 100 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,33 de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlmanya’da DAX endeksi 16.782,72 puanla tarihi zirveyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tGelecek hafta sal\u0131 Almanya’da ZEW endeksleri, \u00e7ar\u015famba Almanya’da cari denge, sanayi \u00fcretimi, per\u015fembe ECB ve BoE’nin faiz karar\u0131, cuma Almanya’da imalat sanayi PMI takip edilecek.<\/p>\n

\n\tAsya borsalar\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 seyretti<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAsya piyasalar\u0131nda, \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin devam etmesiyle sat\u0131\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 seyir hakim oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s, \u00c7in\u2019in kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn “dura\u011fan”dan “negatif”e \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tMoody\u2019s a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, “Not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcndeki de\u011fi\u015fiklik, mali a\u00e7\u0131dan stres alt\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgesel ve yerel y\u00f6netimlere ve Kamu \u0130ktisadi Te\u015febb\u00fcslerine h\u00fck\u00fcmet ve kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan mali destek sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131na dair artan bulgular\u0131 yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r.” ifadesi yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in’in bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcne ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler de \u00f6n planda tutuluyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in’de ayr\u0131ca d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 68,39 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131karak beklentileri a\u015farken, ihracat da y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,5 art\u0131\u015fla tahminleri geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclke ithalat\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,6 azal\u0131\u015fla \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 k\u00fcresel tedarik zinciri konusunda soru i\u015fareti olu\u015ftururken, piyasa beklentisi y\u00fczde 3,3 art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu ifade ederek, yeni y\u0131la do\u011fru yakla\u015f\u0131rken ekonomik aktiviteyi canland\u0131rmak ad\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmetin b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede, kas\u0131mda Caixin hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc PMI 51,5 ile beklentileri a\u015farken, bile\u015fik PMI 51,6 oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya\u2019da ise Japon yeninin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar \u00fczerinde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede, kas\u0131mda Tokyo \u00e7ekirdek T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,3 art\u0131\u015fla beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya ekonomisinin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte beklenenden fazla daralmas\u0131 \u00fclkede ekonomik aktivitenin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011fu endi\u015felerini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Japonya’da 3. \u00e7eyrek Gayrisafi Yurt i\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH), bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,7 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 2,9 azal\u0131\u015fla beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.
\n\tAnalistler, BoJ’un negatif faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131n sonuna yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tahminlerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, bu durumun Japon yendeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fle \u00fclke pay piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tDolar\/yen paritesi ge\u00e7en hafta y\u00fczde 1,2 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 145 seviyesine indi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizini y\u00fczde 4,35’te sabit b\u0131rak\u0131rken, bankadan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamadaki g\u00fcvercin ton dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\n\tS\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmelerle haftal\u0131k bazda \u00c7in’de \u015eanghay bile\u015fik endeksi y\u00fczde 2,05, Hong Kong’da Hang Seng endeksi y\u00fczde 2,95, Japonya’da Nikkei 225 endeksi y\u00fczde 3,36 de\u011fer kaybederken, G\u00fcney Kore’de Kospi endeksi y\u00fczde 0,5 de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tGelecek hafta sal\u0131 Japonya’da \u00dcFE, per\u015fembe Japonya’da sanayi \u00fcretimi, cuma \u00c7in’de sanayi \u00fcretimi ve perakende sat\u0131\u015flar izlenecek.<\/p>\n

\n\tYurt i\u00e7inde Moody’s’in T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmesi bekleniyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tYurt i\u00e7inde ge\u00e7en hafta Borsa \u0130stanbul’da BIST 100 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,40 de\u011fer kaybederek 7.913,76 puandan tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tDolar\/TL, haftay\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,24 \u00fczerinde 28,9693’ten tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye \u00dclke Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Humberto Lopez, T\u00fcrkiye’de elektrik iletim alan\u0131nda 750 milyon dolar\u0131 bulabilecek yeni bir finansman operasyonu haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Standard & Poor\u2019s (S&P) Avrupa, Orta Do\u011fu, Afrika (EMEA) \u00dclke Reytingleri Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Frank Gill de son d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin yeniden dengelendi\u011fine ili\u015fkin i\u015faretlerin giderek g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn “pozitife” y\u00fckseltildi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\tKredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu, internet \u00fczerinden “Geli\u015fmekte Olan Piyasalara Bak\u0131\u015f: T\u00fcrkiye 2024 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir toplant\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tToplant\u0131da, T\u00fcrkiye’nin son d\u00f6nemde ekonomik istikrar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla at\u0131lan ad\u0131mlar\u0131n etkilerini de\u011ferlendiren Gill, “T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin asl\u0131nda yeniden dengelendi\u011fine dair artan kan\u0131tlar\u0131 yans\u0131tacak \u015fekilde T\u00fcrkiye’nin B kredi notunu korurken, kredi notunu olumlu y\u00fckselttik.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tGe\u00e7en hafta T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) toplam rezervleri, 1 Aral\u0131k haftas\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki haftaya g\u00f6re 3 milyar 656 milyon dolar art\u0131\u015fla 140 milyar 149 milyon dolara \u00e7\u0131karak t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tTCMB’nin Haftal\u0131k Menkul K\u0131ymet \u0130statistikleri verilerine g\u00f6re de yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yerle\u015fik ki\u015filer, ge\u00e7en hafta 376,4 milyon dolarla 23 Haziran haftas\u0131ndan bu yana en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hisse senedi al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. B\u00f6ylece, yabanc\u0131lar son 5 haftada yakla\u015f\u0131k 803,6 milyon dolarl\u0131k hisse senedi al\u0131m\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tYurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yerle\u015fiklerin 1 Aral\u0131k haftas\u0131ndaki D\u0130BS al\u0131mlar\u0131 ise son 3 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek al\u0131m\u0131 olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7erken, son 5 haftadaki D\u0130BS al\u0131mlar\u0131 412,1 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n D\u0130BS stoku da 1 milyar 263,1 milyon dolardan 1 milyar 461,5 milyon dolara y\u00fckselerek Haziran 2022’den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tGelecek hafta pazartesi, \u00f6demeler dengesi, sanayi \u00fcretimi, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istatistikleri, cuma konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, TCMB piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi takip edilecek. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ayr\u0131ca uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody’s’in T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan BIST 100 endeksinde 7.900 ve 7.800 puan\u0131n destek, 8.000 ve 8.100 seviyelerinin diren\u00e7, konumunda oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tSanayi \u00dcretimi Beklenti Anketi’ne kat\u0131lan ekonomistler, takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin ekimde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2,09 artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonomistler, ekimde ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin de y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 3,89 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tCari i\u015flemler hesab\u0131n\u0131n ekim ay\u0131nda 745 milyon dolar fazla vermesini bekleyen ekonomistler, 2023 sonunda ise cari i\u015flemler hesab\u0131n\u0131n 46 milyar 850 milyon dolar a\u00e7\u0131k vermesini tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Merkez Bankas\u0131
\n FED
\n ECB
\n Faiz
\n Enflasyon
\n Borsa \u0130stanbul\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda, ABD’de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyallerle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin para…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":82,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[287,2479,121,184,122],"class_list":["post-4983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-faiz","tag-kararlarina","tag-kuresel","tag-odaklandi","tag-piyasalar"],"yoast_head":"\nK\u00fcresel piyasalar faiz kararlar\u0131na odakland\u0131 - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=4983\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K\u00fcresel piyasalar faiz kararlar\u0131na odakland\u0131 - 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