{"id":5008,"date":"2023-12-11T10:56:34","date_gmt":"2023-12-11T07:56:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=5008"},"modified":"2023-12-11T10:56:34","modified_gmt":"2023-12-11T07:56:34","slug":"kuresel-piyasalarda-gozler-faiz-kararlarinda-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=5008","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda g\u00f6zler faiz kararlar\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tABD’de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndan al\u0131nan ili\u015fkin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimlerine ne zaman ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tahminleri zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, bu hafta \u00f6nemli merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra yo\u011fun veri g\u00fcndeminin de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n takibinde olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydederek, varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tGe\u00e7en hafta boyunca ABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n so\u011fudu\u011funa dair umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n haftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde \u00fclkede a\u00e7\u0131klanan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi, grevdeki otomotiv i\u015f\u00e7ilerinin i\u015flerine d\u00f6nmesinin de etkisiyle, kas\u0131mda 199 bin ki\u015fi artarak beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131. ABD’de i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 3,9’dan 3,7’ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verilerinin, ilk etapta Fed’in \u015fahin para politikas\u0131n\u0131n sonuna geldi\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentileri zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran analistler, buna kar\u015f\u0131n verilerin ABD ekonomisinde “yumu\u015fak ini\u015f” senaryosunu destekler nitelikte oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\tPara piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda, istihdam raporu verileri \u00f6ncesinde Fed’in mart ay\u0131nda politika faizinde indirimlere ba\u015flayabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin ihtimal y\u00fczde 60 iken, s\u00f6z konusu verilerin ard\u0131ndan bu ihtimal y\u00fczde 45’lere geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, Fed\u2019in enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda temkinli davranarak faiz indirimlerini erteleyebilece\u011fi ihtimalinin de masada oldu\u011funu an\u0131msatarak, \u015fu s\u0131ralarda bankan\u0131n may\u0131s toplant\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 75 ihtimalle faiz indirmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tBu hafta Fed’in politika faizinde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmeyece\u011fine kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131rken, toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde ABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak enflasyon verilerinin ve toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell’\u0131n s\u00f6zle y\u00f6nlendirmelerinin piyasalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Rating, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun aral\u0131k say\u0131s\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l keskin bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015ferek y\u00fczde 2,1 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Raporda, ABD ekonomisinde resesyon olmasa da keskin bir yava\u015flaman\u0131n beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. \u00dclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,2 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 1,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca ge\u00e7en hafta, ABD’nin b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst y\u00f6neticileri (CEO), banka sermayelerinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ili\u015fkin yeni d\u00fczenleme teklifinin ekonomiye zarar verebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Basel III Endgame” olarak bilinen yeni d\u00fczenleme teklifine karl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilece\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan banka y\u00f6neticileri, d\u00fczenlemenin, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn daha fazla esnekli\u011fe ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde kredileri azaltaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve banka bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tBeklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelen istihdam verisi sonras\u0131 cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 4,23’e \u00e7\u0131karken, \u015fu s\u0131ralarda y\u00fczde 4,24 seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tHaftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc, y\u00fczde 0,4 art\u0131\u015fla 104 seviyesinden g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlayan dolar endeksi, yeni haftaya da y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flayarak 104,1 seviyesinde seyrediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tTar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verilerinin beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fczde 1,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle g\u00fcn\u00fc 2 bin 3 dolardan tamamlayan alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131, \u015fu s\u0131ralarda \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,3 alt\u0131nda 1.996 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, Kripto para birimi Bitcoin, d\u00fcn yatay bir seyir izleyerek g\u00fcn\u00fc 43 bin 960 dolardan tamamlarken, \u015fu dakikalarda \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 4,4 alt\u0131nda 42 bin 20 dolar seviyesinden i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tNew York borsas\u0131nda cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Nasdaq endeksi y\u00fczde 0,45, S&P 500 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,41 ve Dow Jones endeksi y\u00fczde 0,36 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. ABD’de endeks vadeli kontratlar, yeni haftaya ise kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyirle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa’da cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir seyir \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, bu hafta g\u00f6zler Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (BoE) faiz karar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler ECB ve BoE’nin bu hafta ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fi toplant\u0131da faizleri sabit b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatarak, ABD istihdam raporundan al\u0131nan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyallerin Avrupa’daki faiz indirim beklentilerinde de de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe neden oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tPara piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda, s\u00f6z konusu veriler \u00f6ncesinde, ECB’nin martta faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flama ihtimali y\u00fczde 75 iken, ABD istihdam raporu sonras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 60’a geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tBoE’nin ise faiz indirimlerine haziranda ba\u015flama ihtimali para piyasalar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 85 ile fiyatlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00f6lge merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan banka ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zle y\u00f6nlendirmelerin piyasalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini aktaran analistler, bu hafta b\u00f6lge genelinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak yo\u011fun veri g\u00fcndeminin de yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda bulundu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tCuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, Almanya’da DAX 40 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,78, \u0130talya’da MIB 30 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,94, Fransa’da CAC 40 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,32 ve \u0130ngiltere’de FTSE 100 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,54 y\u00fckseldi. Avrupa’da endeks vadeli kontratlar, yeni haftaya ise kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyirle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAsya<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tAsya piyasalar\u0131nda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyir \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin artan endi\u015feler risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fcledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tHafta sonu \u00c7in’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi’nin (T\u00dcFE) kas\u0131mda ayl\u0131k ve y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,5 d\u00fc\u015ferek beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, \u00fclkede hali haz\u0131rda var olan ekonomik aktiviteye ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin daha da artmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, \u00c7in’de yava\u015flamaya devam eden enflasyonun, \u00fclkede giderek zay\u0131flayan yurt i\u00e7i talebin bir g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011funu an\u0131msatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tKapan\u0131\u015fa yak\u0131n, Japonya’da Nikkei 225 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,4 ve G\u00fcney Kore’de Kospi endeksi y\u00fczde 0,2 artarken, \u00c7in’de \u015eanghay bile\u015fik endeksi y\u00fczde 0,2 ve Hong Kong’da Hang Seng endeksi y\u00fczde 1,7 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tYurt i\u00e7i piyasalar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tYurt i\u00e7inde, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir seyir izleyen Borsa \u0130stanbul’da BIST 100 endeksi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 0,82 de\u011fer kayb\u0131yla 7.913,76 puandan tamamlarken, Moody’s’in cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 beklenen T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirme raporu yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131na yerle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tDolar\/TL, haftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 0,2 art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcn\u00fc 28,9846’dan kapatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bug\u00fcn bankalararas\u0131 piyasan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 28,9830 seviyesinden i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dr. Hafize Gaye Erkan, reel sekt\u00f6r ile toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 da devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tErkan, reel sekt\u00f6r g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri kapsam\u0131nda, bug\u00fcn \u0130stanbul’da, D\u0131\u015f Ekonomik \u0130li\u015fkiler Kurulu (DE\u0130K) Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Toplant\u0131s\u0131’na, 13 Aral\u0131k \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc de T\u00fcrkiye \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar Meclisi (T\u0130M) Sekt\u00f6rler Konseyi ile \u0130sti\u015fare Toplant\u0131s\u0131’na kat\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n

\n\tHazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, ve Erkan, yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) D\u00f6nem Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u0130spanya ile s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek, 14-15 Aral\u0131k’ta yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131na kat\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Moody’s’in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 beklenen T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirme raporu \u00f6ncesinde TCMB toplam rezervlerinin 140,1 milyar dolarla t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye’nin 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k kredi risk priminin (CDS) 331 baz puana kadar geriledi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca, Fitch Rating’in, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcmde, \u00fclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,1, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tBug\u00fcn yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda veri g\u00fcndeminin sakin oldu\u011funu, yurt i\u00e7inde \u00f6demeler dengesi, sanayi \u00fcretimi ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 verilerinin takip edilece\u011fini belirten analistler, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan BIST 100 endeksinde 7.900 ve 7.780 puan\u0131n destek, 7.960 ve 8.060 seviyelerinin diren\u00e7 konumunda oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131
\n Borsa \u0130stanbul
\n ECB
\n Enflasyon
\n Faiz
\n FED\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD’de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndan al\u0131nan ili\u015fkin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimlerine ne…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[287,482,1571,121,481],"class_list":["post-5008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-faiz","tag-gozler","tag-kararlarinda","tag-kuresel","tag-piyasalarda"],"yoast_head":"\nK\u00fcresel piyasalarda g\u00f6zler faiz kararlar\u0131nda - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=5008\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda g\u00f6zler faiz kararlar\u0131nda - 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