{"id":571,"date":"2023-05-25T10:41:18","date_gmt":"2023-05-25T07:41:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=571"},"modified":"2023-05-25T10:41:18","modified_gmt":"2023-05-25T07:41:18","slug":"alman-ekonomisi-ozel-tuketimin-dusmesiyle-resesyona-girdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=571","title":{"rendered":"Alman ekonomisi \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle resesyona girdi"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tAlmanya Federal \u0130statistik Ofisi (Destatis), ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin Gayrisafi Yurt i\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) nihai verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tBuna g\u00f6re, Almanya’da mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f GSYH, bu y\u0131l\u0131n birinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tDestatis, \u00f6nc\u00fc verilerle, 28 Nisan’da ekonominin ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetmeyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ekonomi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,5 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. B\u00f6ylece ilk \u00e7eyrekteki y\u00fczde 0,3 daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Alman ekonomisi, “\u00fcst \u00fcste iki \u00e7eyrek GSYH’de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmas\u0131” olarak ifade edilen teknik resesyona girmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tGe\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re ise \u00fclkenin GSYH’si y\u00fczde 0,5 geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tDestatis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ruth Brand, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde \u201cGSYH\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2022’nin sonunda s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Alman ekonomisi art arda iki \u00e7eyrek k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme kaydetti.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tBirinci \u00e7eyrekte \u00f6zel harcamalar, y\u00fcksek enflasyon nedeniyle t\u00fcketicilerin sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn azalmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1,2 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tKamu harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 4,9 geriledi. Makine ve ekipman harcamalar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,2 ve in\u015faat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,9 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlemlendi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAyn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 0,4 artarken, ithalat 0,9 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tDestatis a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, \u201cY\u00fcksek fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Alman ekonomisini bask\u0131lamaya devam etti. Hane halk\u0131 yiyecek ve i\u00e7ecek, giyim, ayakkab\u0131 ve mobilyalara bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re daha az harcad\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda plug-in hibrit ara\u00e7lara te\u015fviklerin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve elektrikli ara\u00e7 primlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi nedeniyle daha az yeni otomobil al\u0131nd\u0131.\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclke ekonomisi, COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan dar bo\u011fazlar hafiflese de faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, ekonomiye g\u00fcvenin azalmas\u0131 ve al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek enflasyon ortam\u0131nda t\u00fcketicilerin sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015fmesi sonucu talepte ya\u015fanan durgunluktan olumsuz etkileniyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlman h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ekonomide bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyor. \u00d6nde gelen Alman ekonomi enstit\u00fcleri ise \u00fclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tUkrayna’da devam eden sava\u015f, demografik de\u011fi\u015fim ve mevcut enerji ge\u00e7i\u015fi, gelecek y\u0131llarda yap\u0131sal olarak Alman ekonomisine a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verecek<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tING K\u00fcresel Makro Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve Almanya Ba\u015fekonomisti Carsten Brzeski, Almanya’n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, Alman ekonomisinin “ge\u00e7en yazdan beri korkulan \u015feyi bu k\u0131\u015f yaparak” teknik bir resesyona girdi\u011fini belirterek, \u201cCiddi bir resesyonun en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryosu de\u011fil, ge\u00e7en yaza g\u00f6re neredeyse y\u00fczde 1’lik bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f.\u201d ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tBrzeski, \u201cS\u0131cak k\u0131\u015f havas\u0131, \u00c7in ekonomisinin yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve tedarik zinciri aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesinin de yard\u0131m\u0131yla sanayi faaliyetlerinde toparlanma, ekonomiyi resesyon tehlikesi b\u00f6lgesinden \u00e7\u0131karmak i\u00e7in yeterli olmad\u0131. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketim, hala y\u00fcksek olan perakende enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan olumsuz etkilenmeye devam etti.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130lk \u00e7eyre\u011fin \u00f6tesine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki iyimserli\u011fin yerini daha fazla bir ger\u00e7eklik duygusuna b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade eden Brzeski, “Sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, fabrikalarda sipari\u015f defterlerinin incelmesi, son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en agresif para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisi ve ABD ekonomisinde beklenen yava\u015flama zay\u0131f ekonomik faaliyetler y\u00f6n\u00fcnde tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ivmeliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tBu d\u00f6ng\u00fcsel fakt\u00f6rlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Ukrayna’da devam eden sava\u015f, demografik de\u011fi\u015fim ve mevcut enerji ge\u00e7i\u015fi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda yap\u0131sal olarak Alman ekonomisine a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verecek.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tCommerzbank Ba\u015fekonomisti J\u00f6rg Kramer de teknik resesyon i\u00e7in \u015fartlar\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, \u201cEnerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda etkisini g\u00f6sterdi.” ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede martta y\u00fczde 7,4 olan y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ise enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn etkisiyle nisanda beklentilere yak\u0131n olarak y\u00fczde 7,2’ye geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Almanya
\n Ekonomik Kriz\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya Federal \u0130statistik Ofisi (Destatis), ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin Gayrisafi Yurt i\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) nihai verilerini…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[501,1082,17,230,1080,1083,1081],"class_list":["post-571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-alman","tag-dusmesiyle","tag-ekonomisi","tag-girdi","tag-ozel","tag-resesyona","tag-tuketimin"],"yoast_head":"\nAlman ekonomisi \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle resesyona girdi - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=571\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alman ekonomisi \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle resesyona girdi - 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