{"id":6048,"date":"2024-01-23T13:37:53","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T10:37:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6048"},"modified":"2024-01-23T13:37:53","modified_gmt":"2024-01-23T10:37:53","slug":"kuresel-piyasalar-ilk-ceyrekte-faiz-indirimi-ongormuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6048","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel piyasalar ilk \u00e7eyrekte faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tCovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretim ve tedarik zincirinde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu olumsuzluklar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra artan jeopolitik riskler, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler dahil olmak \u00fczere d\u00fcnya genelinde enflasyonun y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tD\u00fcnya genelinde y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131na do\u011fru martta ba\u015flamak \u00fczere g\u00fc\u00e7lenen “g\u00fcvercin” fiyatlamalar g\u00fcnden g\u00fcne g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybederken, \u00f6nemli merkez bankalar\u0131n faiz indirimlerine piyasa tahminlerinden daha ge\u00e7 ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n 2024’te faiz indirimine y\u00f6nelmesinin co\u011frafi bak\u0131mdan yayg\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak indirimlerin sert olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tFitch, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan (Fed), Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan (ECB) ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan (BoE) daha fazla faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklenmedi\u011fini, her \u00fc\u00e7 merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n da 2024 sonuna kadar 75 baz puan faiz indirmesinin y\u00fcksek ihtimal oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de hedef, enflasyonu y\u00fczde 2’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en enflasyon, Haziran 2022’de y\u00fczde 9,1 ile 41 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Mart 2020’den Ocak 2022’ye kadar faizleri y\u00fczde 0,25’te sabit b\u0131rakan Fed, enflasyondaki y\u00fczde 9,1’lik zirveye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k politika faizini ge\u00e7en y\u0131l temmuzda 22 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan y\u00fczde 5,25-5,5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar y\u00fckselti.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyonu y\u00fczde 2’lik hedefe d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in s\u00f6zl\u00fc y\u00f6nlendirmelerine devam eden Fed yetkilileri, faizleri aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar bu seviyede sabit tuttu.<\/p>\n

\n\tY\u0131l\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinden bu yana Fed’in martta faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131na dair tahminler, \u00fclkede a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerin ABD ekonomisinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duru\u015fa i\u015faret etmesi ve Fed yetkililerinin s\u00f6z konusu faiz indirimi i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz erken oldu\u011funa y\u00f6nelik s\u00f6zle y\u00f6nlendirmelerinin etkisiyle zay\u0131flamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed’in “Bej Kitap” raporunda da \u00fclkede ekonomik aktivitenin kas\u0131mdan bu yana “\u00e7ok az” de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmeler yer al\u0131rken, artan t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n son haftalarda ekonomiyi desteklemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, Goldman Sachs Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Jan Hatzius, Fed’in ABD ekonomisinde yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme yolunda ilerledi\u011fini ve mart ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak bir faiz indiriminin mant\u0131kl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t31 Ocak’ta y\u0131l\u0131n ilk faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak Fed’in politika faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutmas\u0131 beklenirken, para piyasalar\u0131nda Bankan\u0131n mart ay\u0131nda ilk kez faiz indirimlerine gidece\u011fine ili\u015fkin tahminler y\u00fczde 47 seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa, enflasyon ve resesyon ikileminde<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyon ve resesyon ikileminin en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde hissedildi\u011fi Avrupa’da a\u00e7\u0131klanan temel ekonomik veriler belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7arken, ECB’nin uzun s\u00fcre politika faizlerini y\u00fczde 4,50 seviyesinde tutaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvro B\u00f6lgesi’nde T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi Aral\u0131k 2023’te y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,9 ile beklentiler do\u011frultusunda artt\u0131, \u0130ngiltere’de ise y\u00fczde 4 y\u00fckseli\u015fle beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tPara piyasalar\u0131nda, enflasyon verileri sonras\u0131 ECB’nin ilk faiz indirimine nisanda gidebilece\u011fi beklentisi nispeten zay\u0131flasa da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duru\u015funu korurken, BoE’nin ise faiz indirimlerine haziranda ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu verilerin \u00f6ncesinde, BoE’nin may\u0131sta faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, para piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda, ECB’nin 25 Ocak’ta d\u00fczenleyece\u011fi toplant\u0131da faizleri sabit b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\tECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde, ge\u00e7en hafta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, enflasyonda y\u00fczde 2 hedefine ula\u015fmada do\u011fru yolda olduklar\u0131n\u0131 ancak hen\u00fcz zafer ilan edilemeyece\u011fini belirterek, “Faizi bu yaz indirebiliriz.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa’n\u0131n \u00f6nemli ticari orta\u011f\u0131 \u00c7in ve Japonya’dan gelen veriler de b\u00f6lge yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda yer almaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tAsya’da merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmiyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 (PBoC) son iki haftada ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kararlarda politika ve bor\u00e7 verme faizlerini sabit b\u0131rak\u0131rken, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) da para politikas\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmedi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in’de ekonomik aktiviteye ili\u015fkin artan endi\u015feler PBoC’un faizleri sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, \u00c7in h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in almas\u0131 beklenen kararlar yak\u0131ndan takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tBoJ ise bug\u00fcn politika faizini y\u00fczde eksi 0,1’de sabit b\u0131rak\u0131rken, getiri e\u011frisi kontrol\u00fc rejiminde de de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tTCMB’nin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne devam etmesi bekleniyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tYurt i\u00e7inde ise haziranda g\u00f6reve gelen ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, \u00f6zellikle enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in bir\u00e7ok para ve maliye politikas\u0131 ad\u0131m\u0131 att\u0131. Bu kapsamda T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma s\u00fcrecine girerken, hazirandan bu yana politika faizini y\u00fczde 8,5’ten y\u00fczde 42,50’ye \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda piyasalarda olumlu kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, 25 Ocak’ta TCMB’nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131na yerle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tPiyasalarda, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve lirala\u015fma s\u00fcrecine yo\u011funla\u015fan TCMB’nin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m trendinin sonuna yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eden analistler, y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru enflasyondaki seyre paralel faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6te yandan, beklenti anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistler, TCMB’nin, bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 (politika faizi) 250 baz puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 45’e \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. Ekonomistlerin y\u0131l sonu politika faizi beklentilerinin medyan\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 38,75 oldu.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Merkez Bankas\u0131
\n FED
\n ECB
\n Faiz
\n Enflasyon\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretim ve tedarik zincirinde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu olumsuzluklar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra artan jeopolitik riskler, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":220,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[88,287,19,437,121,6064,122],"class_list":["post-6048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-ceyrekte","tag-faiz","tag-ilk","tag-indirimi","tag-kuresel","tag-ongormuyor","tag-piyasalar"],"yoast_head":"\nK\u00fcresel piyasalar ilk \u00e7eyrekte faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyor - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6048\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K\u00fcresel piyasalar ilk \u00e7eyrekte faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyor - 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