{"id":6206,"date":"2024-01-31T08:49:05","date_gmt":"2024-01-31T05:49:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6206"},"modified":"2024-01-31T08:49:05","modified_gmt":"2024-01-31T05:49:05","slug":"imf-turkiyenin-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6206","title":{"rendered":"IMF T\u00fcrkiye’nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nu g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Yava\u015flayan Enflasyon ve \u0130stikrarl\u0131 B\u00fcy\u00fcme Yumu\u015fak \u0130ni\u015fin Yolunu A\u00e7\u0131yor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlanan raporda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc tahmin edilen k\u00fcresel ekonominin bu y\u0131l da y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi, b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l ise y\u00fczde 3,2 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edildi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tIMF, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ekim ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan raporunda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,9 ve 2025 y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, ABD ve baz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin beklenenden fazla dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermesi ve \u00c7in’deki mali deste\u011fin, b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminindeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonda etkili oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tIMF raporunda, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseltilmesinin, y\u00fcksek borcun ekonomik faaliyet \u00fczerinde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu bask\u0131 nedeniyle mali deste\u011fin geri \u00e7ekilmesinin ve temeldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck verimlilik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle 2024-2025 i\u00e7in tahminlerin y\u00fczde 3,8’lik tarihsel ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in y\u00fckseltildi, Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkelerin g\u00fcncellenen ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin de payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 2,1’e y\u00fckseltilirken 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,8’den y\u00fczde 1,7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,2’den y\u00fczde 0,9’a ve 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,8’den y\u00fczde 1,7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa’n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerinden Almanya’n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,9’dan y\u00fczde 0,5’e ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2’den y\u00fczde 1,6’ya indirildi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, Fransa ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,3’ten y\u00fczde 1’e, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in de y\u00fczde 1,8’den y\u00fczde 1,7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, \u0130talya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,7 olarak korunurken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1’den y\u00fczde 1,1’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130spanya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,7’den y\u00fczde 1,5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,1’de sabit tutuldu\u011fu belirtilen raporda, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin de bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,6 olarak korunurken gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2’den y\u00fczde 1,6’ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyon<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, y\u00fckselen piyasalar ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke ekonomileri grubunda ise \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,2’den y\u00fczde 4,6’ya y\u00fckseltilirken gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak korundu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tHindistan ekonomisinin bu ve gelecek y\u0131la dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin de y\u00fczde 6,3’ten y\u00fczde 6,5’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, Rusya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde 2,6’ya ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1’den y\u00fczde 1,1’e y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131la dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fckseltildi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tIMF, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki tahminlerinde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2024’te y\u00fczde 3 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyonda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tArz y\u00f6nl\u00fc sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde enflasyonun \u00e7o\u011fu b\u00f6lgede beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkatin \u00e7ekildi\u011fi raporda, k\u00fcresel man\u015fet enflasyonun 2024’te y\u00fczde 5,8’e ve 2025’te ise y\u00fczde 4,4’e d\u00fc\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle birlikte k\u00fcresel ekonomide “sert ini\u015f” olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik risklerin genel olarak dengelendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyonun daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmesinin finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n daha da gev\u015femesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fine dikkatin \u00e7ekildi\u011fi raporda, gerekenden ve tahmin edilenden daha gev\u015fek bir maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ici olarak daha y\u00fcksek bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme anlam\u0131na gelebilece\u011fi ancak daha sonra daha maliyetli bir ayarlama riski ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tJeopolitik \u015foklar nedeniyle emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar s\u0131k\u0131 parasal ko\u015fullar\u0131n s\u00fcresini uzatabilir<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz’de devam eden sald\u0131r\u0131lar da dahil olmak \u00fczere jeopolitik \u015foklardan kaynaklanan emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki yeni art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ve arz kesintileri ile daha kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonun s\u0131k\u0131 parasal ko\u015fullar\u0131n s\u00fcresini uzatabilece\u011fi, \u00c7in’de emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n derinle\u015fmesi ya da vergi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve harcama kesintilerine y\u00f6nelik y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn de b\u00fcy\u00fcmede hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131klar\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tIMF raporunda, enflasyonun hedefe do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6netmenin, para politikas\u0131n\u0131 altta yatan enflasyon dinamiklerine g\u00f6re ayarlaman\u0131n, \u00fccret ve fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 durumlarda daha az k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 duru\u015fa uyum sa\u011flaman\u0131n politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 zorluklar oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n ABD
\n ABD Ekonomisi
\n B\u00fcy\u00fcme
\n \u00c7in
\n Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme
\n \u0130MF\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nu g\u00fcncelledi. “Yava\u015flayan Enflasyon ve \u0130stikrarl\u0131 B\u00fcy\u00fcme Yumu\u015fak…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":665,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[751,1264,385,10,291],"class_list":["post-6206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-buyume","tag-imf","tag-tahminini","tag-turkiyenin","tag-yukseltti"],"yoast_head":"\nIMF T\u00fcrkiye'nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6206\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF T\u00fcrkiye'nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - 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