{"id":6330,"date":"2024-02-05T00:23:54","date_gmt":"2024-02-04T21:23:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6330"},"modified":"2024-02-05T00:23:54","modified_gmt":"2024-02-04T21:23:54","slug":"emtia-piyasasi-yeni-yila-yogun-inis-cikislarla-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6330","title":{"rendered":"Emtia piyasas\u0131 yeni y\u0131la yo\u011fun ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flarla ba\u015flad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tEmtia piyasas\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en ay g\u00f6r\u00fclen farkl\u0131 dinamiklerin etkisiyle kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir seyir izlendi.<\/p>\n

\n\tOcak ay\u0131nda Fed’in para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizlikler, jeopolitik riskler, \u00fcretim tahminleri, hava ve iklim olaylar\u0131 ile \u00c7in ekonomisine dair geli\u015fmeler emtia piyasas\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen \u00f6nemli unsurlar aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6nemli merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirimlerine ne zaman ba\u015flayacaklar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik belirsizlikler varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde etkili olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler, \u00fclkede i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funa i\u015faret ederken, enflasyonun, beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen ana etkenler olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6zellikle merkez bankalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00fcvercin fiyatlamalar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybetmeye devam etmesi ve dolara talebin artmas\u0131 emtia piyasas\u0131nda bir taraftan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131na sebep olurken, jeopolitik riskler, kurakl\u0131k, \u00fcretim ve arza y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler ise s\u00f6z konusu bask\u0131y\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tDe\u011ferli metallerde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tDe\u011ferli metaller ge\u00e7en ay yo\u011fun sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n en fazla hissedildi\u011fi emtia grubu oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tOcak ay\u0131nda alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu y\u00fczde 1,4, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f y\u00fczde 4, platin y\u00fczde 7,3, paladyum y\u00fczde 11,2 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tG\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar ve tahvil faizlerindeki art\u0131\u015f de\u011ferli metaller \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Analistler, Fed’in martta faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla alt\u0131na olan talebin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n

\n\tPaladyum fiyatlar\u0131 da elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n normal otomobillere talebi azaltabilece\u011fine dair endi\u015felerle d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tBaz metallerde ise kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir seyir izlendi. Bak\u0131r y\u00fczde 0,3, kur\u015fun y\u00fczde 7 artarken, al\u00fcminyum y\u00fczde 4,4, \u00e7inko y\u00fczde 5, nikel 0,8 azal\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tK\u00fcresel imalat sanayi aktivitesine ili\u015fkin belirsizlikler baz metallerde talep endi\u015felerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tFiziki piyasada bak\u0131r a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funu belirten analistler, \u00c7in’in 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda kayda de\u011fer derecede bak\u0131r t\u00fcketti\u011fini, bunun da talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in’in zay\u0131flayan in\u015faat piyasas\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u00fclkenin askeri ve ulusal g\u00fcvenlik alanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in de bak\u0131r talebinde bulunuyor. Bu \u00fclkenin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Avrupa ve Hindistan da ye\u015fil ekonomi ile \u00e7evresel, sosyal ve kurumsal y\u00f6neti\u015fim gibi alanlarda etkili olmak i\u00e7in bak\u0131ra y\u00f6neliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tBrent petrol, stoklardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve Orta Do\u011fu’daki gerginliklerle y\u00fczde 4,6 de\u011ferlendi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tEnerji grubunda da ge\u00e7en ay sert dalgalanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tBrent petrol y\u00fczde 4,6 artarken, New York Ticaret Borsas\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren do\u011fal gaz y\u00fczde 16,5 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de stoklar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren veriler ve Orta Do\u011fu’da devam eden gerginli\u011fin etkisiyle Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131 artt\u0131. K\u00fcresel petrol rezervlerinin \u00e7o\u011funu bar\u0131nd\u0131ran Orta Do\u011fu’da artan gerginlik, b\u00f6lgede k\u00fcresel tedarik zinciri krizinin olu\u015fmas\u0131 ve enerji sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n olumsuz etkilenmesi endi\u015feleri k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Bu durum da fiyatlar\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketini destekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tPetrol fiyatlar\u0131; k\u00fcresel talepte bu y\u0131l ve 2025’te art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, so\u011fuk havan\u0131n etkisiyle ABD’de \u00fcretimde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu’daki jeopolitik gerilimin artmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n

\n\tPetrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn (OPEC) yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapora g\u00f6re, bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel petrol talebi ge\u00e7en seneye g\u00f6re 2,2 milyon varil art\u0131\u015fla 104,4 milyon varile y\u00fckselecek. Petrol talebinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine \u00e7o\u011funlukla \u00c7in ve Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00fclkelerde kapasite art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ve petrokimya marjlar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131da bulunaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Talebe d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fte, hava ve kara yolu ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ile sanayi, in\u015faat ve tar\u0131m faaliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n da etkili olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tTalebin 2025’te ise g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,8 milyon varil b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek (g\u00fcnl\u00fck) 106,2 milyon varil olmas\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. D\u00fcnyada petrol talebinin artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc, fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tFiyatlar, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00e7ok petrol t\u00fcketen \u00fclkesi ABD’de talebin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren verilerin ve \u00c7in’de ekonomik toparlanma sinyallerinin etkisiyle y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresinin (EIA) resmi stok verilerine g\u00f6re, \u00fclkedeki ticari ham petrol stoklar\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k 9 milyon 200 bin varil azald\u0131. Beklenti; stoklar\u0131n 3 milyon varil azalmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Stoklarda beklentinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ABD’de talebin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc destekledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tDo\u011fal gaz \u00fcretimindeki art\u0131\u015f ise fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tTar\u0131m grubunda \u015feker ve kakaodaki y\u00fckseli\u015fler dikkati \u00e7ekti<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tTar\u0131m grubunda da ge\u00e7en ay dalgalanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tOcakta Chicago Ticaret Borsas\u0131’nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren bu\u011fday y\u00fczde 5,2, m\u0131s\u0131r y\u00fczde 4,9, soya fasulyesi y\u00fczde 0,3 de\u011fer kaybederken, pirin\u00e7 y\u00fczde 2 de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de faaliyet g\u00f6steren emtia borsas\u0131 Intercontinental Exchange’te i\u015flem g\u00f6ren pamuk y\u00fczde 5,2, kahve y\u00fczde 3,1, \u015feker y\u00fczde 16,2, kakao y\u00fczde 14,9 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 Tah\u0131l Konseyinin 2023\/2024 sezonu k\u00fcresel bu\u011fday ve m\u0131s\u0131r \u00fcretim tahminlerini y\u00fckseltmesi, bu\u011fday ve m\u0131s\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tAnalistler, Brezilya’da ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artmas\u0131yla kurakl\u0131k endi\u015felerinin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n soya fasulyesi fiyatlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe neden oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u00c7in’de soya fasulyesi \u00fcretiminin 2023’te 20,8 milyon tona, bu \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn ekili oldu\u011fu alanlar\u0131n da 10,5 milyon hektara ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerle birlikte \u00fclkenin g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fini desteklemek amac\u0131yla soya fasulyesi ekimini art\u0131rmay\u0131 planlamas\u0131, \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tK\u00fcresel pamuk \u00fcretiminin d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerle pamuk fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. ABD Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 D\u00fcnya Tar\u0131msal Arz ve Talep Tahminleri raporuna g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel pamuk \u00fcretimi 2023\/2024 sezonunda 342 bin balya azalacak.<\/p>\n

\n\tBrezilya’da kurak havan\u0131n devam edece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler ve bunun da kahve rekoltesine zarar verece\u011fine ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerle kahve fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Vietnam’da ge\u00e7en y\u0131l kahve ihracat\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi de kahveye ili\u015fkin arz endi\u015felerinin s\u00fcrmesine neden oluyor. Husilerin K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz’de devam eden sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Asya’dan Avrupa’ya kahve sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmas\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle Vietnam’daki arza ili\u015fkin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131larla kahve fiyatlar\u0131 ge\u00e7en ay art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tHindistan’da \u015feker \u00fcretiminin azalmas\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. \u00dclkenin \u015feker ihracat\u0131 yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fine ili\u015fkin haberler de y\u00fckseli\u015fte etkili oldu. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen \u015feker \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkelerinden Tayland’da da \u015feker \u00fcretiminin d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik tahminler de fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden olan ba\u015fka bir sebep olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tOlumsuz hava ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n kakaonun rekoltesini etkilemesi ve bunun sonucunda teslimatlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla kakao fiyatlar\u0131 sert y\u00fckseldi. Fildi\u015fi Sahili ve Gana’da da arza ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmeye devam etmesi kakao fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinde \u00f6nemli paya sahip oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tEl Nino hava olay\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretimi olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi endi\u015feleri de kakao ve \u015feker fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden olan ba\u015fka bir fakt\u00f6r olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Alt\u0131n
\n Ekonomik D\u00fczenlemeler
\n FED
\n Petrol
\n Brent Petrol
\n Bu\u011fday
\n M\u0131s\u0131r
\n Kahve\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Emtia piyasas\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en ay g\u00f6r\u00fclen farkl\u0131 dinamiklerin etkisiyle kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir seyir izlendi. 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