{"id":66,"date":"2023-04-28T16:56:20","date_gmt":"2023-04-28T13:56:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=66"},"modified":"2023-04-28T16:56:20","modified_gmt":"2023-04-28T13:56:20","slug":"guven-endeksleri-ekonomide-umutlari-artirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=66","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fcven endeksleri ekonomide umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tT\u00fcketici ve reel sekt\u00f6r gibi kesimlerin genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin beklentisini ortaya koyan g\u00fcven endeksleri, bu ay pozitif seyir izledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130lk olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi martta 80,1 iken nisanda ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 9,2 artarak 87,5 oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tEndeks, T\u00fcketici E\u011filim Anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hesaplan\u0131rken bu kapsamda belirlenen mevcut d\u00f6nemde hanenin maddi durumu, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanenin maddi durum beklentisi, genel ekonomik durum beklentisi ile dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na harcama yapma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi endeksleri de y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

\n\tMerkez Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi de nisanda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 2,8 puan y\u00fckselerek 108’e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde mevsimsellikten ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi de 1 puan y\u00fckselerek 105,1 oldu. Endeks, ocak, \u015fubat ve mart aylar\u0131nda da art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n
\"Hizmet<\/div>\n
Hizmet \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi martta artt\u0131<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n\tAyr\u0131ca, finansal hizmetler g\u00fcven endeksi de nisanda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 6,4 puan artarak 148,3 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Son 3 aydaki i\u015f durumu ve hizmetlere olan talep ile gelecek 3 aydaki hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm alt endeksler, finansal hizmetler g\u00fcven endeksini art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde etkiledi. Endeks, martta da bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 0,6 puan artarak 141,9 seviyesine y\u00fckselmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonomik g\u00fcven endeksi de martta 98,8 iken nisanda ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 3,5 art\u0131\u015fla 102,2 de\u011ferini ald\u0131. T\u00dc\u0130K’in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re, ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi y\u00fczde 1 artarak 105,1’e ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tEndeksin 100’\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnde olmas\u0131 ekonomide iyimserli\u011fin g\u00f6stergesi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130stanbul \u00dcniversitesi \u0130ktisat Fak\u00fcltesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Sefer \u015eener, g\u00fcven endekslerindeki g\u00f6stergelere ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonomik g\u00fcven endeksinin 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131n\u0131n genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin iyimserli\u011fi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirten \u015eener, se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecinin dahi ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck iyimserlik beklentilerini azaltmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u015eener, ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksinin t\u00fcketici, reel kesim, hizmet, perakende ticaret ve in\u015faat alt sekt\u00f6rlerinden olu\u015ftu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, bu ay 5 sekt\u00f6rden 3’\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fckselmesinin olumlu oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlt sekt\u00f6rlerde de y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin konjonkt\u00fcrel olarak art\u0131\u015f\u0131n devam edece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini vurgulayan \u015eener, “As\u0131l dikkate de\u011fer olan ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksi i\u00e7inde y\u00fczde 40’l\u0131k paya sahip reel kesim (imalat sanayisi) endeksinin nisanda y\u00fczde 1 artmas\u0131d\u0131r.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tReel kesim g\u00fcven endeksinde 105,1 seviyesinin de \u00f6nemli bir veri oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7eken \u015eener, “Ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck g\u00fcvenin en \u00f6nemli unsuru imalat sanayisinin h\u0131z kesmemesi ve bu sanayiye d\u00f6n\u00fck olumlu beklentilerin y\u00fckselmesi umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. \u0130malat sanayisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ihracat\u0131, istihdam\u0131 ve cari dengeyi sonraki aylarda destekleyecek bir unsurdur. Di\u011fer taraftan bu durum \u00fcreticilerin ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck beklentilerinin pozitif d\u00fczeylerde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksinin t\u00fcketicilerin beklentisini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini ifade eden \u015eener, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu:<\/p>\n

\n\t“T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksinin nisanda y\u00fczde 9,2 artarak 87,5 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesi son d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketicilerin ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck beklentilerinin de olumlu oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin olumlu olmas\u0131 enflasyon ve kur beklentilerini bask\u0131layacak bir unsurdur. Gerek t\u00fcketici gerekse \u00fcreticilerin beklentilerinin olumlu olmas\u0131 ekonominin geneline d\u00f6n\u00fck gelecek umutlar\u0131n\u0131 da pozitife \u00e7evirmektedir. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta d\u00fcnya ekonomilerinde ya\u015fanan jeopolitik durumlar, finansal sorunlar, tedarik sorunlar\u0131, enflasyon sorunlar\u0131, bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck beklentilerin y\u00fckseliyor olmas\u0131 son derece \u00f6nem arz etmektedir.”<\/p>\n

\n\t“Kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi d\u00f6neme giriliyor olmas\u0131 endekslere yans\u0131yor”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130stanbul Arel \u00dcniversitesi \u0130ktisadi ve \u0130dari Bilimler Fak\u00fcltesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Do\u00e7. Dr. C\u00fcneyt Dirican da g\u00fcven endekslerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerin temel nedenleri aras\u0131nda Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli depremlerin hasarlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik al\u0131nan aksiyonlar ile ilk olumsuz etkilerin ve alg\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fczelmesi, se\u00e7imin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesiyle \u00e7e\u015fitli ba\u015fl\u0131klardaki belirsizli\u011fin ortadan kalkacak olmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel piyasalardaki sorunlara ve i\u00e7sel dinamiklere ra\u011fmen ekonomideki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n az olmas\u0131, enflasyon art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinde bulunmas\u0131, \u00e7e\u015fitli projelerin hayat bulmaya ve ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n say\u0131labilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEndekslerdeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin devam\u0131 halinde beklentilerin iyile\u015fece\u011fini ve s\u00fcreklili\u011fin olu\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Dirican, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

\n\t“Faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u0131da enflasyonu artan \u0130ngiltere, cari a\u00e7\u0131k olu\u015fan ve enflasyonu artan Arjantin ile ABD \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun yap\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131k arz etmesi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fcreselde batan bankalar\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131, petrol varil fiyat\u0131ndaki ve dolar endeksi ile avro\/dolar paritesindeki oynakl\u0131klara, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de deprem ve se\u00e7im atmosferine ra\u011fmen kurun kayan paritede ve faizin dengeli gidiyor olmas\u0131 se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in beklentilerin olumlu y\u00f6nde olu\u015fmas\u0131na katk\u0131 sa\u011flayan unsurlar aras\u0131nda de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne paralel olarak izlenecek para ve maliye politikalar\u0131ndaki s\u00fcrecin berrakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve makro ihtiyati tedbirlerde piyasa beklentilerine uygun r\u00f6tu\u015flar\u0131n geli\u015fmesi, d\u0131\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n selektif katk\u0131s\u0131yla s\u00fcrecin daha olumlu tarafa kaymas\u0131 beklenebilir.”<\/p>\n

\n\tG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ileti\u015fimle beklentilerin do\u011fru y\u00f6nde \u015fekillendirilmesi ve tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan baz\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n hane halk\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in neden-sonu\u00e7 kazan\u0131m ili\u015fkisiyle anlat\u0131larak azalt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n bu endekslerin y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ve h\u0131z\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir etken oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7eken Dirican, “T\u00fcrkiye’nin uzun zamand\u0131r yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla desteklenmesi sonucu, katma de\u011feri, kazan\u0131mlar\u0131, verimlili\u011fi somut rakamlarla g\u00f6rece\u011fi bir d\u00f6neme giriliyor olmas\u0131 bu endekslere \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge olarak yans\u0131yor.” dedi.\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n T\u00dc\u0130K
\n Merkez Bankas\u0131
\n Enflasyon
\n Faiz\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcketici ve reel sekt\u00f6r gibi kesimlerin genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin beklentisini ortaya koyan g\u00fcven endeksleri,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":67,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[144,142,141,42,143],"class_list":["post-66","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-artirdi","tag-ekonomide","tag-endeksleri","tag-guven","tag-umutlari"],"yoast_head":"\nG\u00fcven endeksleri ekonomide umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=66\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"G\u00fcven endeksleri ekonomide umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 - 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