{"id":6603,"date":"2024-02-19T07:29:16","date_gmt":"2024-02-19T04:29:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6603"},"modified":"2024-02-19T07:29:16","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T04:29:16","slug":"kuresel-ekonomide-durgunluk-ve-resesyon-kaygilari-buyuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6603","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide durgunluk ve resesyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tBir \u00fclkedeki ekonomik faaliyetlerde en az 6 ay s\u00fcreyle gerileme ya\u015fanmas\u0131 ve reel GSYH’nin d\u00fc\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na gelen resesyon, ekonomik aktivitede duraklama, milli gelirin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131 gibi bir\u00e7ok olumsuz etkiye yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonomilerde resesyona girilmesi i\u00e7in \u00fcst \u00fcste iki \u00e7eyrek GSYH’de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 gerekirken, resesyon belirtileri olarak sanayi \u00fcretiminde, perakende sat\u0131\u015flarda, yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda azalma ile i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f s\u0131ralan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkelerin s\u0131k\u0131 para ve maliye politikalar\u0131, d\u0131\u015f talepte azalma, emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f ekonomik belirsizlikler ile ciddi do\u011fal afetler resesyona neden olabiliyor. Resesyon ortam\u0131 gelirleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor, yoksulluk ve e\u015fitsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor, firmalar\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile sonu\u00e7lan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\tSon d\u00f6nemde geli\u015fmi\u015f pek \u00e7ok \u00fclkeden gelen resesyon veya duraklama y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki veriler ise k\u00fcresel ekonomide resesyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6zellikle merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tedbirler ve faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda geri ad\u0131m at\u0131lmamas\u0131 halinde resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fcklenecek \u00fclkelerin de artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130ngiltere’de Brexit sanc\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130ngiliz Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS) verilerine g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ekim-aral\u0131k d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 0,3 ile beklentinin \u00fczerinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen \u00fclke ekonomisi, son iki \u00e7eyrek daralarak teknik resesyona girdi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130ngiltere’de \u00f6zellikle hizmet, \u00fcretim ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6rlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dikkati \u00e7ekti. \u0130ngiliz ekonomisi 2023’\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde de y\u00fczde 0,1 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkede y\u00fcksek enflasyon, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutmas\u0131yla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131rken, bu durum ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi engelledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tKovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan bu yana di\u011fer geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilere k\u0131yasla enflasyonla daha ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z bir m\u00fccadele sergileyen \u0130ngiltere’de enflasyon oran\u0131 Ekim 2022’de y\u00fczde 11’e kadar y\u00fckselirken, ge\u00e7en ay itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4’e kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon hedefi ise y\u00fczde 2 seviyesinde bulunuyor. \u00dclkede merkez bankas\u0131, son olarak 1 \u015eubat’ta politika faizini beklentiler do\u011frultusunda 15 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan y\u00fczde 5,25’te sabit b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tY\u00fckselen fiyatlar \u0130ngilizlerin al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcne de zarar veriiyor. Uluslararas\u0131 analistler \u00fclkenin Avrupa Birli\u011fi’nden (AB) ayr\u0131lma karar\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik sorunlar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130ngiltere Maliye Bakan\u0131 Jeremy Hunt da Aral\u0131k 2023’te yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00fclkesinin AB’den ayr\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcrecine neden oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. \u00d6te yandan, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek 2008 k\u00fcresel mali krizden bu yana en zay\u0131f performans\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya’da zay\u0131f yen ihracat\u0131 etkiliyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde zay\u0131f i\u00e7 talep nedeniyle resesyona girdi. \u00dclkede GSYH, son \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,4 geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya’n\u0131n GSYH’si 2023’\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde de y\u00fczde 3,3’l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. B\u00f6ylece Japon ekonomisi teknik olarak resesyona girmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya’da i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimin zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131 \u00fclkeyi resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fckleyen ana etken olurken, t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 da dahil olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm \u00f6nemli talep kategorileri negatifti.<\/p>\n

\n\tJaponya’n\u0131n temel enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 90’\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin y\u00fczde 60’\u0131n\u0131 ithal etti\u011fi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda zay\u0131f yen ya\u015fam maliyetinin artmas\u0131na \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde katk\u0131da bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tYen para biriminin son iki y\u0131lda dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ekonomik gerilemede \u00f6nemli rol oynad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tZay\u0131f yen ihracat karlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken, yenin \u00f6zellikle 2022 ve 2023’te ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda neredeyse be\u015fte bir oran\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetmesi dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\n\tResesyona giren Japonya, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ekonomisi unvan\u0131n\u0131 ise Almanya’ya devretti.<\/p>\n

\n\tSon verilerle Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (BOJ) 10 y\u0131ld\u0131r uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcpheler de artt\u0131. GSYH verileri ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00fclkenin merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131rma karar\u0131n\u0131 daha da geciktirebilece\u011fi olarak yorumland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlmanya’da resesyon tehlikesi artt\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6zellikle enerji alan\u0131nda Rusya ile kopan ili\u015fkiler nedeniyle sanayisi zor g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7iren Almanya’da ise ekonomi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tEkonominin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi halinde teknik resesyona girecek Almanya’da ekonominin y\u0131ll\u0131k performans\u0131 da endi\u015feleri art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclke ekonomisi 2023’te bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrken, Almanya Maliye Bakan\u0131 Christian Lindner, 5 \u015eubat’ta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ekonomide ya\u015fanan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin \u00fclkesini daha fakir hale getirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“B\u00fcy\u00fcme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in fakirle\u015fiyoruz. Geride kal\u0131yoruz.” ifadesini kullanan Lindner, Almanya’n\u0131n art\u0131k rekabet\u00e7i de olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclke \u00e7ap\u0131nda \u00e7ift\u00e7i protestolar\u0131 da devam ederken, Alman Sanayi ve Ticaret Odalar\u0131 Birli\u011fi (DIHK) tahminlerine g\u00f6re, 2024 de ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan zor bir y\u0131l olacak.<\/p>\n

\n\tDIHK’in 27 binden fazla \u015firketle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete g\u00f6re, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 35’i, bu y\u0131l i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndaki durumun daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\tH\u00fck\u00fcmet 2024 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,2 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklerken, DIHK’a g\u00f6re Alman ekonomisi bu y\u0131l da y\u00fczde 0,5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclecek.<\/p>\n

\n\tEuro B\u00f6lgesi durgunlukta<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tEuro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla b\u00fcy\u00fcmedi.<\/p>\n

\n\t20 \u00fcyeli Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nde mevsimsellikten ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f GSYH, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\n\tResesyona girmekten k\u0131l pay\u0131 kurtulan Euro B\u00f6lgesi durgunluktan \u00e7\u0131kamad\u0131. Ekonomideki zay\u0131f performans \u00f6zellikle i\u00e7 talep ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlardaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynakland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tEuro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi, Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla ya\u015fanan enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeniden ivme kazanmakta zorland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olan ve ucuz enerjiye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Almanya, ekonomik s\u0131namay\u0131 en sert hisseden \u00fclkelerden oldu.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131ny\u00fckselen enflasyonu dizginlemek i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sert faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, t\u00fcketiciler ve i\u015fletmelerin harcamalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde daha fazla bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tEuro B\u00f6lgesi’nin \u00fcretim ve hizmet sekt\u00f6rlerindeki faaliyet yava\u015flarken mal ve hizmetlere olan talep geriledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAB Komisyonu, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n kredileri azaltmas\u0131yla Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nde bu y\u0131lki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 1,2’den y\u00fczde 0,8’e indirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tYap\u0131lan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyon, hane halk\u0131 sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki zay\u0131flama, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma, mali deste\u011fin k\u0131smen geri \u00e7ekilmesi ve d\u00fc\u015fen d\u0131\u015f talep nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131na ba\u011fland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00d6zellikle enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131, Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi, Orta Do\u011fu’da \u0130srail Filistin aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n b\u00f6lgeye yay\u0131lmas\u0131, K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz’de ya\u015fanan sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n devam\u0131 ile \u00c7in ekonomisindeki yava\u015flama k\u00fcresel ekonomideki belirsizlikleri daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00f6ylece, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l boyunca k\u00fcresel ekonomide olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek seyreden resesyon kayg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l da devam etmesi, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Ekonomik D\u00fczenlemeler
\n Euro\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bir \u00fclkedeki ekonomik faaliyetlerde en az 6 ay s\u00fcreyle gerileme ya\u015fanmas\u0131 ve reel GSYH’nin d\u00fc\u015fmesi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1025,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3065,6410,142,6411,121,2331],"class_list":["post-6603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-buyuyor","tag-durgunluk","tag-ekonomide","tag-kaygilari","tag-kuresel","tag-resesyon"],"yoast_head":"\nK\u00fcresel ekonomide durgunluk ve resesyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyor - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6603\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K\u00fcresel ekonomide durgunluk ve resesyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyor - 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