{"id":6824,"date":"2024-03-01T10:53:55","date_gmt":"2024-03-01T07:53:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6824"},"modified":"2024-03-01T10:53:55","modified_gmt":"2024-03-01T07:53:55","slug":"moodys-g20-ekonomik-buyumesinin-bu-yil-yavaslamasini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6824","title":{"rendered":"Moody’s, G20 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin bu y\u0131l yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tMoody’s, K\u00fcresel Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024-25 Raporu’nun \u015fubat ay\u0131 g\u00fcncellemesini “G20 ekonomilerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi 2024’te biraz daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde istikrar kazanacak” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, k\u00fcresel ekonominin geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalarda ekonomik faaliyetlerin istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde normalle\u015fmesiyle Kovid-19 sonras\u0131 dengeye ge\u00e7i\u015f yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, etkili politika manevralar\u0131, iyile\u015fen arz-talep dengeleri ve Avrupa’da k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u0131l\u0131man ge\u00e7mesi gibi iyi etkenler nedeniyle bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomi i\u00e7in yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015fin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tSa\u011flam ABD ekonomisine ek olarak, bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkede salg\u0131n sonras\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ve beklenenden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanmalar\u0131n, yap\u0131c\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tablosu olu\u015fturdu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (ECB) muhtemelen ikinci \u00e7eyrekte faiz indirimine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, jeopolitik riskler ve enflasyonun, ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme y\u00f6nelik potansiyel tehdit olmaya devam etti\u011fi vurgulanarak, k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim ve ticari ortam\u0131n jeopolitik de\u011fi\u015fimlerle uyum i\u00e7inde geli\u015fece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tG20 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2022 ve 2023 seviyelerine g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015fmesinin muhtemel oldu\u011fu ifade edilen raporda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9 olan G20 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,4 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 2,6 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, geli\u015fmi\u015f G20 ekonomilerinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,5, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,6, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin de s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 3,8 ve 3,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi, bu y\u0131l daralmas\u0131 muhtemel tek G20 ekonomisinin ise Arjantin oldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131 faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme yolunda<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tFed, ECB ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (BoJ) faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme ve normalle\u015ftirme yolunda ilerledi\u011fine de\u011finilen raporda, enflasyonun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u00e7izgide kalmas\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla, b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n zaman\u0131 gelince para politikas\u0131n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, Moody’s’in Fed’in 2024’te faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 100 baz puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek y\u00fczde 4,25-4,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekece\u011fi ve 2025’te daha da indirime gidece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentisini korudu\u011fu ve ECB’nin ikinci \u00e7eyrekte politika normalle\u015fmesine ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tMakroekonomik risklerin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekilen raporda, jeopolitik risklerin ise \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, temel makroekonomik ve finansal riskler aras\u0131nda enflasyon, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n nihai d\u00fczeyine ili\u015fkin belirsizlik ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131, jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin emtia piyasalar\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ticaret \u00fczerinde risk olu\u015fturmaya devam etti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tDevam eden Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ve Asya genelindeki gerginliklerin b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ciddi belirsizlikler katt\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulanan raporda, yurt i\u00e7i ekonomi ve ticaret politikalar\u0131 ile teknoloji transferlerinin de d\u0131\u015f politika taraf\u0131ndan \u015fekillenece\u011fi anlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tMoody’s bu y\u0131la dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinde ABD, Hindistan ve Rusya ekonomisi ile G20 geneli i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyona giderken, Avro B\u00f6lgesi, Almanya, Suudi Arabistan ve Arjantin i\u00e7in beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\n\tKredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun raporunda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moody’s, K\u00fcresel Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024-25 Raporu’nun \u015fubat ay\u0131 g\u00fcncellemesini “G20 ekonomilerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi 2024’te biraz daha…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":179,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3191,6537,41,2354,2873,6538,383],"class_list":["post-6824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-bekliyor","tag-buyumesinin","tag-ekonomik","tag-g20","tag-moodys","tag-yavaslamasini","tag-yil"],"yoast_head":"\nMoody's, G20 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin bu y\u0131l yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=6824\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Moody's, G20 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin bu y\u0131l yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor - 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