{"id":7060,"date":"2024-03-13T23:01:16","date_gmt":"2024-03-13T20:01:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7060"},"modified":"2024-03-13T23:01:16","modified_gmt":"2024-03-13T20:01:16","slug":"fitch-bu-yila-iliskin-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7060","title":{"rendered":"Fitch, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tFitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun mart say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “B\u00fcy\u00fcme G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u0130yile\u015fiyor Ancak Enflasyon Devam Ediyor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, k\u0131sa vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin iyile\u015fmesi nedeniyle bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin 0,3 puan art\u0131r\u0131larak y\u00fczde 2,4’e y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tS\u00f6z konusu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonun ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 1,2’den y\u00fczde 2,1’e keskin bir \u015fekilde revize edilmesini yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, ABD ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik revizyonun \u00c7in’in bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 4,6’dan y\u00fczde 4,5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden ve Avro B\u00f6lgesine dair beklentinin y\u00fczde 0,7’den y\u00fczde 0,6’ya \u00e7ekilmesinden “daha a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131” aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, \u00c7in hari\u00e7 geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ise 0,1 puan art\u0131r\u0131larak y\u00fczde 3,2’ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Hindistan, Rusya ve Brezilya i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tFitch’in raporunda, Avro b\u00f6lgesinin reel \u00fccretler ve t\u00fcketimdeki art\u0131\u015fla toparlanmas\u0131yla ancak ABD’nin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin yava\u015flamas\u0131yla d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentinin ise korundu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed ve ECB’den y\u0131l sonuna kadar 3 faiz indirimi beklentisi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tABD’de ge\u00e7en y\u0131l mali a\u00e7\u0131ktaki benzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f konjonkt\u00fcrel geni\u015flemenin i\u00e7 talebi art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 esnekli\u011finin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtilen raporda, ancak 2024’te mali ivmenin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n ve hanehalk\u0131 gelirindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, \u00fclkede ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n gecikmeli etkilerinin reel faiz oranlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaya devam etmesiyle birlikte \u00e7eyrekten \u00e7eyre\u011fe b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde trendin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde alt\u0131nda bir orana yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAlmanya’daki resesyonun Fransa ve blo\u011fun geri kalan\u0131 \u00fczerinde yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131yla birlikte Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nin durgunla\u015fmaya devam etti\u011fine de\u011finilen raporda, Alman ekonomisinin yap\u0131sal b\u00fcy\u00fcme k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda tekrarlanmas\u0131 muhtemel olmayan bir dizi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015foktan da etkilendi\u011fi kaydedildi. Raporda, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (ECB) faiz indirimine gitmesi, d\u00fcnya ticaretinin toparlanmas\u0131 ve enerji \u015fokunun etkisinin azalmas\u0131yla orta vadede b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in’deki emlak piyasas\u0131ndaki \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn de h\u0131z kesmeden devam etti\u011fi aktar\u0131lan raporda, deflasyonist bask\u0131lara dair kan\u0131tlar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, ancak mali gev\u015femenin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bunun da GSYH tahmini \u00fczerindeki etkiyi hafifletti\u011fi dile getirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ve ECB’nin y\u0131l sonuna kadar \u00fc\u00e7 kez, toplamda 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimine gitmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtilerek, ancak her iki bankan\u0131n da politika gev\u015feme s\u00fcrecine ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce enflasyondaki son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funa dair daha fazla kan\u0131t g\u00f6rmek istedi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tFitch’in Fed’in ilk faiz indiriminin tarihine ili\u015fkin beklentisinin haziran ay\u0131ndan temmuz ay\u0131na ertelendi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, ECB’nin ilk faiz indirimi tarihine dair \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fclerinin de nisan ay\u0131ndan haziran ay\u0131na ertelendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2,8’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere de yer verilen raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00e7eyreklik bazda y\u00fczde 1 ile tahminlerin \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n bunda etkili oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, PMI endeksi, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ve di\u011fer y\u00fcksek frekansl\u0131 g\u00f6stergelerdeki son geli\u015fmeler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ekonomik ivmenin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde de devam etmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n
\"Fitch:<\/div>\n
Fitch: T\u00fcrkiye’de se\u00e7im sonras\u0131nda enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesiyle tutarl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n\tFitch’in raporunda, k\u0131sa vadeli ekonomik kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n bu y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 2,5’ten y\u00fczde 2,8’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2025’te ise y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin tahmin edildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun mart say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “B\u00fcy\u00fcme G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u0130yile\u015fiyor Ancak Enflasyon Devam Ediyor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[751,41,2689,66,121,385,2944,291],"class_list":["post-7060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomik","tag-fitch","tag-iliskin","tag-kuresel","tag-tahminini","tag-yila","tag-yukseltti"],"yoast_head":"\nFitch, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7060\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fitch, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - 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