{"id":7133,"date":"2024-03-17T15:01:55","date_gmt":"2024-03-17T12:01:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7133"},"modified":"2024-03-17T15:01:55","modified_gmt":"2024-03-17T12:01:55","slug":"bakan-simsek-enflasyon-yilin-ikinci-yarisindan-itibaren-yillik-bazda-dusmeye-baslayacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7133","title":{"rendered":"Bakan \u015eim\u015fek: Enflasyon y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flayacak"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tHazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek, Kanal 7’de g\u00fcndeme ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyonun y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden \u015eim\u015fek, “Bir program var. Sab\u0131rla ve kararl\u0131l\u0131kla uygulayaca\u011f\u0131z ve bu program sonu\u00e7 verecektir.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u015eim\u015fek, “Dolar 15 g\u00fcn sonra 40 lira olacak” ve “Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n raporu s\u0131zd\u0131” iddialar\u0131na ili\u015fkin soru \u00fczerine, haberler ve sosyal medyadan yap\u0131lan payla\u015f\u0131mlarla karamsarl\u0131k pompaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\tMuhalefetin, projeleriyle se\u00e7im<\/a> yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek yerine toplumun gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin \u00fcmitlerini olumsuz etkileyecek yakla\u015f\u0131mlarla se\u00e7imi g\u00f6t\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden \u015eim\u015fek, “Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan program \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nday\u0131z. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla k\u00f6t\u00fcmser zemin yok. Dedik ki ‘Bu program uygulamaya ge\u00e7tikten sonra b\u00fcy\u00fcmede bir dengelenme olacak’. Yani enflasyonu, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u015fekilde kontrol alt\u0131na alacak yeni bir kompozisyon \u00e7\u0131kacak. Yani b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yap\u0131s\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fecek.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u015eim\u015fek, ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri kur hedeflerinin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktararak, “Ama kur hedefimizin olmamas\u0131, spek\u00fclatif ama\u00e7l\u0131 piyasadaki dalgalanmalara Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n kay\u0131ts\u0131z kalaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tD\u00fcnyan\u0131n hi\u00e7bir \u00fclkesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck taleple kurlarda y\u00fcksek oynamaya izin verilmeyece\u011fini bildiren \u015eim\u015fek, Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 tehlikeye atacak bir dalgalanmay\u0131 engelleyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Ama\u00e7 se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi g\u00fcvensizlik yaratmak”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u015eim\u015fek, kura ili\u015fkin iddialar\u0131 an\u0131msatarak, “Ge\u00e7en hazirandan bu yana benim s\u00f6ylemedi\u011fim ama bana atfen ‘S\u00f6yledi’ dedikleri en az 40 haberi yalanlad\u0131k. Bu spek\u00fclatif tarz\u0131 masa ba\u015f\u0131nda uydurulan haberleri biz yalanlamaktan yorulduk. Belli kesimler bu yalanlar\u0131 \u00fcretmekten hala yorulmad\u0131lar. Bu se\u00e7im d\u00f6neminde de bunun dozu artt\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ama\u00e7 se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi g\u00fcvensizlik, belirsizlik yaratmak.” dedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye’nin, ihtiyac\u0131 olan d\u0131\u015f kayna\u011f\u0131 bulmada iyi noktada oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden \u015eim\u015fek, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren uzun vadeli ve uygun ko\u015fullarda gelen kayna\u011f\u0131n, bu y\u0131l artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Hazine’nin de d\u0131\u015f kaynak bulmada sorunu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildiren \u015eim\u015fek, Hazine’nin avro cinsinden 2017’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck spread (faiz fark\u0131yla) ile bor\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\t“\u0130lave d\u00f6viz talebinin ekonomik temeli yok”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t“Hazine y\u00fcksek faizle mi bor\u00e7lan\u0131yor?” iddialar\u0131na da cevap veren \u015eim\u015fek, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n

\n\t“Faiz neye g\u00f6re y\u00fcksek? Neye g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck? Nominal faiz tabii ki bundan 10-15 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re y\u00fcksek. Fakat \u015fu anda b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada faizler y\u00fcksek. ABD hazinesinin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 4-5 aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc son bir y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde. Yani \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 4’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde. ABD hazinesi y\u00fczde 4’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde bor\u00e7lan\u0131yor. Genelde sizin risk priminizi (CDS) buna ekiyorlar ve o sizin spreadiniz oluyor.”<\/p>\n

\n\t\u015eim\u015fek, se\u00e7ime 2 hafta kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek, “Se\u00e7ime kadar bu spek\u00fclatif ama\u00e7l\u0131 pozisyon alma, bunu te\u015fvik etme, bunu telkin etme \u00e7abalar\u0131 devam edecek. \u015eu anda ilave d\u00f6viz talebinin ekonomik temeli yok. Ama ‘se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 ge\u00e7en sene oldu\u011fu gibi kur y\u00fckselir, para kazan\u0131r\u0131m’ beklentisiyle y\u00f6nlendirilen bir kesim var. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131 bizim ucuz verdi\u011fimiz reeskont kredisi ile gidip d\u00f6viz al\u0131yor ve bekliyor. \u0130hracat gelirinin y\u00fczde 40’\u0131n\u0131 bozdurmas\u0131 kural\u0131 var. Onu da \u015fu anda geciktiriyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ‘ben se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 biraz daha fazla kazanabilir miyim’ diye. Biz kuru tutmuyoruz ki kazanas\u0131n.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\n\t“\u0130lave tedbir al\u0131r\u0131z”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tKur iddialar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fru olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan \u015eim\u015fek, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

\n\t“Ge\u00e7en sene may\u0131sta T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 mevduat faizleri y\u00fczde 30’lar civar\u0131nda. \u015eu andan y\u00fczde 53-54 civar\u0131. O g\u00fcn itibariyle beklenen enflasyona g\u00f6re eksi reel faiz var. Politika faizi zaten y\u00fczde 8,5’tu. \u015eu anda piyasa diyor ki ’12 ay sonra enflasyon y\u00fczde 36,7 olacak.’ Bunu ben s\u00f6ylemiyorum. 70 reel ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc uzman\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bunu d\u00fcn bir gazete istismar etmi\u015f: ‘Gizli rapor if\u015fa oldu. \u0130\u015fte kur \u015furaya \u00e7\u0131kacak.’ Yalanlardan biri bu. Halbuki ‘gizli raporlardan if\u015fa oldu’ yalan\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n 70 finans ve reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc uzman\u0131na ‘Siz 2024’\u00fcn sonunda veya bir y\u0131l sonra kuru nerede bekliyorsunuz?’ sorusuna cevab\u0131, sanki se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 olacakm\u0131\u015f gibi paketlenmi\u015f. Bak\u0131n bunlar iyi niyetli olamaz. Lira \u015fu anda cazip. Niye? E\u011fer y\u00fczde 50’nin \u00fczerinde faiz al\u0131yorsan\u0131z, e\u011fer piyasa \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ay enflasyonu y\u00fczde 40’\u0131n alt\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsa bu ‘reel getiri var’ demektir. Enflasyon konusunda kafalar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. Mart ay\u0131nda Enflasyon Raporu a\u00e7\u0131klanacak, may\u0131sa kadar y\u00fckselmeye devam edecek. Y\u00fckselen y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon, d\u00fc\u015fen ayl\u0131k enflasyon. Peki \u00f6nemli \u00f6nemli olan 12 ayl\u0131k enflasyon de\u011fil mi? Ge\u00e7mi\u015f 12 ayl\u0131k enflasyonun yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131nda bir anlam\u0131 yok. \u00d6nemli olan gelecek 12 ay. \u015eimdi gelecek 12 ay piyasa y\u00fczde 36,7 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Gelecek 24 ayda ise y\u00fczde 20’li rakamlar\u0131 konu\u015fuyoruz. Piyasadan bahsediyorum. \u0130lave maliye politikas\u0131yla birlikte belirsizlik band\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131za inan\u0131yorum. Olmayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131za inan\u0131rsak ilave tedbirler al\u0131r\u0131z. Bu da Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n uhdesinde olan bir konu.”<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n Enflasyon
\n Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek
\n Vergi\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek, Kanal 7’de g\u00fcndeme ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu. Enflasyonun y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2855,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[69,1228,588,2743,146,861,2742,1467,4005,145,161],"class_list":["post-7133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-bakan","tag-baslayacak","tag-bazda","tag-dusmeye","tag-enflasyon","tag-ikinci","tag-itibaren","tag-simsek","tag-yarisindan","tag-yilin","tag-yillik"],"yoast_head":"\nBakan \u015eim\u015fek: Enflasyon y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flayacak - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7133\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bakan \u015eim\u015fek: Enflasyon y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flayacak - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek, Kanal 7’de g\u00fcndeme ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu. 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