{"id":7607,"date":"2024-04-16T16:19:39","date_gmt":"2024-04-16T13:19:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7607"},"modified":"2024-04-16T16:19:39","modified_gmt":"2024-04-16T13:19:39","slug":"imf-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7607","title":{"rendered":"IMF, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tUluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun nisan say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “\u0130stikrarl\u0131 ama Yava\u015f: Ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n Ortas\u0131nda Dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, ekonomik aktivitenin 2022-2023’teki k\u00fcresel dezenflasyona kar\u015f\u0131n \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 derecede dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011fu, k\u00fcresel enflasyon 2022 ortas\u0131ndaki zirvesinden gerilerken “ekonomik aktivitenin stagflasyon ve k\u00fcresel resesyon uyar\u0131lar\u0131na meydan okuyarak istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc” aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, istihdam ve gelirlerdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin istikrarl\u0131 bir seyir izledi\u011fine i\u015faret edilerek, bu durumun beklenenden fazla h\u00fck\u00fcmet harcamalar\u0131 ve hanehalk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi de dahil olmak \u00fczere destekleyici talep geli\u015fmeleriyle \u00f6zellikle i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131mda beklenmedik bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ortas\u0131nda arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir geni\u015flemeyi yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyonun hedeflenen seviyelere yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n bir\u00e7ok ekonomide politika gev\u015femesine y\u00f6neldi\u011fi aktar\u0131lan raporda, y\u00fcksek vergiler ve azalan h\u00fck\u00fcmet harcamalar\u0131yla y\u00fcksek kamu borcunu frenlemeyi ama\u00e7layan maliye politikalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda devam etmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tD\u00fcnya ekonomisinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2024 ve 2025 y\u0131llar\u0131nda da ayn\u0131 h\u0131zla devam etmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc vurgulanan raporda, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan tahmine k\u0131yasa 0,1 puan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilerek y\u00fczde 3,1’den y\u00fczde 3,2’ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, gelecek y\u0131la ait tahminin de y\u00fczde 3,2 olarak sabit tutuldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n tarihsel standartlara g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekilen raporda, bunun hem bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin hala y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 ve mali deste\u011fin geri \u00e7ekilmesi gibi k\u0131sa vadeli fakt\u00f6rlerden hem de Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’daki sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkileri, verimlilikteki zay\u0131f art\u0131\u015f ve artan jeoekonomik ayr\u0131\u015fma gibi uzun vadeli fakt\u00f6rlerden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tK\u00fcresel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme y\u00f6nelik riskler art\u0131k genel olarak dengelendi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, k\u00fcresel man\u015fet enflasyonun 2023’teki y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 6,8’den seviyesinden 2024’te y\u00fczde 5,9’a ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 4,5’e d\u00fc\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fi dile getirilerek, geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin enflasyon hedeflerine y\u00fckselen piyasa ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden daha erken ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tBundan 5 y\u0131l sonraki k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 3,1 ile son y\u0131llar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, orta ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkelerde daha y\u00fcksek ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131na ula\u015fma h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomik e\u015fitsizliklerin devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret etti\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, k\u00fcresel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme y\u00f6nelik risklerin art\u0131k genel olarak dengelendi\u011fi, Ukrayna’daki sava\u015f ile Gazze ve \u0130srail’deki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar dahil olmak \u00fczere jeopolitik gerilimlerden kaynaklanan yeni fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n hala s\u0131k\u0131 oldu\u011fu bir ortamda kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonla birlikte faiz oran\u0131 beklentilerini art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ve varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tB\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler aras\u0131nda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele h\u0131zlar\u0131ndaki farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n da finansal sekt\u00f6rleri bask\u0131 alt\u0131na alan d\u00f6viz hareketlerine neden olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, \u00c7in’de ise sorunlu emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne kapsaml\u0131 bir m\u00fcdahale yap\u0131lmamas\u0131 halinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin duraklayabilece\u011fi ve bunun ticaret ortaklar\u0131na zarar verebilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri sabit tutuldu<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\t\u00dclkelerin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin de payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de\u011fi\u015ftirilmedi.<\/p>\n

\n\tT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenen IMF raporunda, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n sona ermesi ve t\u00fcketimin toparlanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte 2024’\u00fcn ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ekonomik aktivitenin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc..<\/p>\n

\n\tEnflasyon tahmini ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 59,5 ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 38,4 olurken, \u00fclkede i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 9,6 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tABD ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fckseltildi, Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,1’den y\u00fczde 2,7’ye y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise y\u00fczde 1,7’den y\u00fczde 1,9’a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, Avro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,9’dan y\u00fczde 0,8’e ve 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,7’den y\u00fczde 1,5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tAvrupa’n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerinden Almanya’n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,5’ten y\u00fczde 0,2’ye ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,6’dan y\u00fczde 1,3’e indirildi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, Fransa ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1’den y\u00fczde 0,7’ye ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,7’den y\u00fczde 1,4’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, \u0130talya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,7 olarak korunurken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde 0,7’ye indirildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u0130spanya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 1,9’a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,1’de sabit tutuldu\u011fu belirtilen raporda, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin de bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,6’dan y\u00fczde 0,5’e ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,6’dan y\u00fczde 1,5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\t\u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi sabit b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, y\u00fckselen piyasalar ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke ekonomileri grubunda ise \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,6 ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak korundu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tHindistan ekonomisinin bu y\u0131la dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin y\u00fczde 6,5’ten y\u00fczde 6,8’e y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ise y\u00fczde 6,5’te sabit tutuldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

\n\tRaporda, Rusya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6’dan y\u00fczde 3,2’ye, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in de y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde 1,8’e y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n \u0130MF\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun nisan say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “\u0130stikrarl\u0131 ama Yava\u015f: Ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n Ortas\u0131nda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":710,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[751,41,1264,121,385,291],"class_list":["post-7607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomik","tag-imf","tag-kuresel","tag-tahminini","tag-yukseltti"],"yoast_head":"\nIMF, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7607\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti - 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