{"id":7867,"date":"2024-04-30T09:27:05","date_gmt":"2024-04-30T06:27:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7867"},"modified":"2024-04-30T09:27:05","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T06:27:05","slug":"uzmanlar-fedin-eylulden-once-faiz-indirimine-gitmesi-beklemiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7867","title":{"rendered":"Uzmanlar, Fed’in eyl\u00fclden \u00f6nce faiz indirimine gitmesi beklemiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n\tRabobank K\u0131demli ABD Stratejisti Philip Marey, ABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan mart ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin enflasyonun Fed’in haziranda faiz indirimine ba\u015flama umudunu yok eden bir oyun de\u011fi\u015ftirici oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Art\u0131k ilk faiz indirimini eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda, ikinci faiz indirimini ise aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bekliyoruz.” ifadesini kullanan Marey, \u015fimdilik Fed’den beklenebilecek tek hamlenin bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 olabilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tMarey, Fed’in may\u0131s ay\u0131nda bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azaltabilece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tBa\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinde, Donald Trump’\u0131n kas\u0131mda zafer kazanabilece\u011fini belirten Marey, olas\u0131 bir k\u00fcresel ithalat tarifesi nedeniyle enflasyonda bir y\u00fckseli\u015f olabilece\u011fini ve Fed’in 2025’te iki faiz indirimi daha yapt\u0131ktan sonra faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc duraklatabilece\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\tFWD Bonds Ba\u015fekonomisti Chris Rupkey de enflasyonda \u00e7ekirdek fiyatlardaki ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimlerin 2024’\u00fcn ikinci ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir miktar so\u011fuyabilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n\tFed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell’\u0131n \u015feffaf olmak isteyebilece\u011fini ve faiz indiriminin olas\u0131 hale gelmesi i\u00e7in enflasyonun so\u011fudu\u011funu g\u00f6steren birden fazla raporun gerekebilece\u011fini belirten Rupkey, “Bu senaryoya g\u00f6re, ilk faiz indirimini eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda g\u00f6rece\u011fimizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu, Fed’in ne kadar politik oldu\u011funa dair bir test olacak \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed’in ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminden \u00f6nce harekete ge\u00e7ti\u011fini hat\u0131rlam\u0131yoruz.” de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tING Group Uluslararas\u0131 Ba\u015fekonomisti James Knightley de y\u00fcksek enflasyon, ekonomideki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc aktivite ve istihdam rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n Fed’in faiz indirimi i\u00e7in piyasa beklentilerini aral\u0131k ay\u0131na \u00f6teledi\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi i\u00e7in hala f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.” diyen Knightley, bununla Fed’in temkinli davranabilece\u011fi ve enflasyon y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n da y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131 sinyalini verebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\t“Faiz indirimi 2025’te ba\u015flayabilir”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n\tBerenberg K\u0131demli Ekonomisti Dr Felix Schmidt de Fed’in 2022 ve 2023’te k\u00fcm\u00fclatif olarak 500 baz puandan fazla faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n ABD ekonomisinin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde diren\u00e7li kalmaya devam etti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

\n\tBunun b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde, kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f da dahil olmak \u00fczere gev\u015fek bir maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n parasal k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 etkisiz hale getirmesiyle a\u00e7\u0131klanabilece\u011fini ifade eden Schmidt, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 c\u00f6mert bir maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcketim kaynakl\u0131 yapay bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan talebin \u00f6zel yat\u0131r\u0131mlara y\u00f6nelik kapsaml\u0131 s\u00fcbvansiyonlar ve h\u00fck\u00fcmet harcamalar\u0131 yoluyla desteklenmedi\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n\tSchmidt, “Devam eden dinamik ekonomik durum, s\u0131k\u0131 i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 ve enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede duraksayan s\u00fcre\u00e7, Fed’in 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 mevcut seviyede b\u0131rakmas\u0131na neden olacak.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

\n\tMuhtemelen 2025’te mali te\u015fvik sona erdi\u011finde, Fed’in para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yava\u015f yava\u015f ilerleyebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunan Schmidt, 2025 sonbahar\u0131na kadar her biri 25 baz puanl\u0131k d\u00f6rt faiz indirimi ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

\n
ET\u0130KETLER<\/div>\n
\n FED
\n Faiz
\n Enflasyon\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rabobank K\u0131demli ABD Stratejisti Philip Marey, ABD’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan mart ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin enflasyonun Fed’in haziranda faiz…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":82,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[7181,7180,287,1576,4206,1663,1274,3106],"class_list":["post-7867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-haberleri","tag-beklemiyor","tag-eylulden","tag-faiz","tag-fedin","tag-gitmesi","tag-indirimine","tag-once","tag-uzmanlar"],"yoast_head":"\nUzmanlar, Fed'in eyl\u00fclden \u00f6nce faiz indirimine gitmesi beklemiyor - Es-Exchange Ekonomi Haberleri<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/es-exchange.com\/haberler\/?p=7867\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Uzmanlar, Fed'in eyl\u00fclden \u00f6nce faiz indirimine gitmesi beklemiyor - 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